FIFA World Cup – Germany vs. Mexico 6/17/18 Odds, Preview and Prediction


The first game of the Group F between Germany and Mexico will take place at the Luzhniki Arena in Moscow on June 17th. Die Mannschaft is undoubtedly the strongest team in the group and anything below the first place would be a huge disappointment for the reigning champions, and this duel with Mexico will probably directly decide on who will end at the top of the Group F.

Germany vs. Mexico

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Three-Way: 1: Germany -227; X: +300 Draw; 2: Mexico +700 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -1: Germany -122; Mexico +110

Total 2.5 goals: Over -111; Under -111


The DFB Eleven will be playing in their 19th World Cup and they are looking to bring home the fifth trophy and tie the numbers of World Championship wins with Brazil, but it seems that the Brazilians will be their biggest obstacle in that intent. Germany is defending the title they won four years ago and is one of the strongest candidates to lift the trophy once again, so it is natural to expect them to finish at the top of the Group F.

Joachim Löw had a few headaches concerning the selection of 23 players that will travel to Russia and he made some unexpected decisions. The head coach opted not to take the left-winger Leroy Sane who endured a fantastic season at Man City and won the Premier League this year, while he also left out the scorer of the winner in the World Cup finals four years ago, Mario Götze. Emre Can and Shkodran Mustafi are as well among those who will not pack their bags to Russia, but still, Löw has a great squad at his disposal.

Toni Kroos and Mesut Özil will run the midfield and will feed Thomas Müller, Mario Gómez, and Timo Werner with useful passes, while Julian Brandt, Marco Reus, and Julian Draxler should operate behind the striker, so it’s obvious that the Germans have plenty of options in the attack. On the other hand, Mats Hummels, Jérôme Boateng, Joshua Kimmich, and Jonas Hector have their place guaranteed in the back four, while Löw is delighted to have the captain Manuel Neuer healthy for this World Cup after the Bayern Munich goalkeeper missed the almost entire season due to an injury.

It is interesting to highlight that Germany didn’t win a single match in five friendlies, losing the previous two to Brazil and Austria, but they faced some strong sides such as England, France, and Spain, but failing to keep the net intact in four of those five tilts is a bit of concern.


The Tricolor qualified for their 16th World Cup and 7th in a row, and they are hoping to get to the Round of 16 for the seventh consecutive time as the last time they fail to do so was in Argentina 1978. Mexico never reached the semi-finals as they made it to the quarter-finals twice, both times when they hosted the tournament.

Juan Carlos Osorio didn’t have problems and second thoughts about the selection of 23 players like his colleague from Germany, so he decided for the mix of players who are playing in the domestic championship, MLS, and Europe.

The attack is made of quite talented and quality individuals with the nation’s top scorer Javier Hernández as the leader, and Raúl Jiménez and Carlos Vela should back him up in the front three systems. The midfield is also strong with the captain Andrés Guardado, Jesús Manuel Corona, Giovani dos Santos, Héctor Herrera and Jonathan dos Santos have plenty of international caps behind them and will be a real test to any opponent.

Guillermo Ochoa will likely start between the sticks, while Carlos Salcedo, Diego Reyes, and Héctor Moreno are good defenders who are playing in Europe and Salcedo is particularly familiar with German players as he is representing Eintracht Frankfurt.

Despite having the attack competent of outscoring pretty much any team, Mexico had troubles in front of the goal lately as they scored miserable one goal in the previous three friendlies against Croatia, Wales, and Scotland. In the last tilt with Scotland, the Tricolor produced even 32 attempts on goal including ten on target but scored only one, so they have to improve on converting goal-scoring chances.

Betting Prediction

The rivals met on five occasions previously; three times at the World Cup and twice at the FIFA Confederations Cup, including the most recent clash when Germany destroyed Mexico 4-1, even though the Mexicans had more chances and were a better side for the most part of the game. While they missed opportunities to score, the Germans took theirs, so with all the issues in front of the goal at the moment, that could happen here again. Still, I think that Mexico can score at least one, so I am backing goals on both ends.

The Pick: Both teams to score Yes (+110)