EPL Match of the Day Round 6 – West Ham United vs. Chelsea (9/23/18)


West Ham welcome Chelsea in matchday six of the Premier League on the back of their first win of the season and will try to recreate last season’s atmosphere where they battled home to a 1-0 win, in a feisty match that also saw them get six yellow cards. The game between West Ham and Chelsea will take place at the Olympic Stadium on September 23rd, 2018.

West Ham United vs. Chelsea 

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Three-Way: 1: West Ham +500; X: +350 Draw; 2: Chelsea -175 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread +1: West Ham -112; Chelsea +108

Total 3 goals: Over -104; Under -114


The Hammers’ opening run of four straight defeats and ten conceded goals was the worst of any team this season. In their defense, however, they are the only team in the league to have opened with five matches against teams all currently located in the upper half of the table.

West Ham snapped that four-game losing streak with a 3-1 road victory over Everton thanks to a first-half brace from Andriy Yarmolenko and the second-half strike from Marko Arnautovic. The Hammers wanted the win more than the Toffees who kept the ball in their possession and had even 16 attempts on goal, but the visitors prevailed in the end.

Betting Trends:

  • Four of West Ham’s last six competitive matches have seen both teams scored and over 2.5 goals
  • West Ham won just one out of the last six Premier League games played at home


The Blues maintained the perfect start of the season with a home victory over Cardiff despite being a 1-0 down, and they are the only team in the Premier League alongside Liverpool with all five wins in the first five rounds. Chelsea also opened the Europa League campaign with a narrow, 1-0 win over PAOK on the road in a match they dominated from the very start.

Willian scored already in the 7th minute and Chelsea preserved a minimal lead for the remainder of the clash to book three points in a relatively easy group that consists of Mol Vidi and Bate Borisov, so the Blues are the massive favorites to secure the top spot.

Betting Trends:

  • Chelsea scored the first goal in five out of six competitive games this season
  • Chelsea spent only 21 minutes in total in losing position in this campaign so far

In these super-competitive H2H encounters, 62% of the goals have been scored in the second half, and both teams have scored in five of six. Furthermore, both teams have a record of W2, D2, L2, from those six, and the winning margin has never been bigger than one goal in any of those matches. 32 yellow (5.33 on average) and one red card have been awarded in the last six Premier League H2H duels between these sides, so we can expect a feisty tilt on Sunday. Considering the fact that the winning margin wasn’t bigger than a goal recently, I am backing the hosts not to lose by more than a goal here.

MY PICK: AH West Ham +1 (-112)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Only one out of the previous 12 H2H meetings produced more than three goals, and although plenty of encounters produced exactly three goals, I am backing the teams to combine for under three on this one. In case they produce three goals, your stake will be refunded.

MY PICK: Under 3 (-114)