EPL Match of the Day Round 22 – Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester United (1/13/19)

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Title-hunting Spurs welcome the revived Red Devils in the 22nd round of the Premier League. Both teams are among the form teams in the league with four wins in their last five. The game between Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United will take place at the Wembley Stadium on January 13th, 2018.

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester United

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Three-Way: 1: Tottenham +104; X: +270 Draw; 2: Manchester United +275 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -0.5:Tottenham +102; Manchester United -122

Total 3 goals: Over +102; Under -123

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR

Tottenham played their fourth match in eleven days in midweek when they beat rivals Chelsea 1-0 in the first semi-final of the EFL Cup. That was their third straight win to nil in a run that has seen them lose just once in 11 competitive games (W9, D1, L1).

Remarkably, Spurs are the only team yet draw a league game this season, a result also not seen in any of the last nine H2Hs with Manchester United (in all competitions), with the visitors holding a slight edge with five wins to Tottenham’s four.

Tottenham is on a three-game winning run during which they scored 11 goals and conceded none, and the latest narrow win over Chelsea gave them an upper hand prior to the second leg at Stamford Bridge. Harry Kane scored the game-winning goal from the penalty spot in the 27th minute after a dubious decision from the referee Oliver to award the penalty to the hosts.

Mauricio Pochettino will be without Jan Vertonghen (thigh) and Victor Wanyama (knee), while Eric Dier (knee), Moussa Dembele (ankle), and Lucas Moura (knee)are listed as questionable for this clash.

Betting Trends:

  • Harry Kane enters the round topping the EPL scoring charts (joint) with 14 goals
  • Tottenham average 3.2 scored goals in their last five Premier League matches
  • Three of Tottenham’s five defeats have come at home, where they average 2.0 points per match, compared to 2.5 playing away

MANCHESTER UNITED

United suffered a humiliating loss in the first meeting with Tottenham this season (0-3), but have looked a different team under caretaker boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, with five straight wins (in all competitions). First and foremost, things have changed for United going forward, with the team scoring two goals or more in all five matches since their managerial change – 14 in four (3.5 on average) in the league.

The Red Devils didn’t have trouble to beat Reading at home in the FA Cup as they scored two first-half goals through Juan Mata and RomeluLukaku, and although the Royals had 60% of ball possession and attempted 13 shots, Sergio Romero managed to keep his net intact. United is in the 6th position in the Premier League with 38 points, 16 behind their arch-rivals and league leaders Liverpool and ten behind Tottenham.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer cannot count on Marcos Rojo (knee) and Eric Bailly (suspension), while Alexis Sanchez (thigh) and Chris Smalling (foot) are doubtful to feature against Tottenham on Sunday.

Betting Trends:

  • Paul Pogba has four goals and three assists in his last four EPL matches
  • Nine of United’s eleven away Premier League matches this season have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals
  • United average 3.0 scored goals in their last five EPL matches

Manchester United won five out of the previous ten H2H encounters (D1, L4) but Tottenham was victorious in each of the last three duels at home, where the Red Devils failed to get a victory in the past six visits. Both teams are in an excellent form and I cannot separate them at the moment, and considering that Spurs are the only team in the league without a draw, I am going with a draw in this one.

MY PICK: Draw (+270)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Man United drastically improved in the offense since Solskjaer took charge but Tottenham kept the clean sheet in four of their previous five games, and none of the last 11 H2H duels produced more than three goals. I am backing under 3 goals here and in case the rivals combine for exactly three goals, we will get our stake back.

MY PICK: Under 3 (-123)