EPL Match of the Day Round 2 – Chelsea vs. Arsenal (8/18/18)

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A tasty London derby awaits, as two clubs entering new managerial eras after appointing Maurizio Sarri and Unai Emery, respectively, but unlike the Italian, the former Sevilla and PSG coach didn’t experience the best of time in his debut in the Premier League and will be looking to make amends on this one. The game between Chelsea and Arsenal will take place at the Stamford Bridge on Saturday, August 18th.

Chelsea vs. Arsenal

Three-Way: 1: Chelsea -125; X: +275 Draw; 2: Arsenal +320 at BetDSISportsbook

Spread -0.5: Chelsea -128; Arsenal +108

Total 2.5 goals: Over -143; Under +125

CHELSEA

Maurizio Sarri’s debut was one to remember as the Blues comfortably defeated Huddersfield on the road in the Premier League opener last week, 3-0. N’Golo Kante of all people opened the scoring in the 34th minute, while the new reinforcement Jorginho doubled the lead from the penalty spot in the dying moments of the first half. Chelsea held the ball for 63% of the time on their feet and completely controlled the tilt before Pedro put the final nail on Huddersfield’s coffin in the 80th minute to set the final score.

Betting Trends:

  • Chelsea have not defeated Arsenal in the last six H2H encounters (D3, L3), including two 0-0 draws in the last four
  • Eden Hazard has scored in two of the three last fixtures against Arsenal
  • Chelsea scored in each out of the last six EPL matches at home

ARSENAL

The Gunners were pretty much embarrassed in front of their own fans in the opener against the reigning champions Manchester City and luckily for them that the visitors scored only two goals (Sterling and Bernardo Silva) because it could be much worse. Unai Emery is certainly unhappy with the tough fixture list early in the season and now he must make a plan how to stay unbeaten on this one. The lack of an established left-back at Arsenal looked obvious; Ashley Maitland-Niles went off early with an injury and with Monreal and Kolasinac looking unlikely to return, this looks a significant vulnerability for Arsenal, so Emery could turn to the right-back Stephan Lichtsteiner again. Man City destroyed Arsenal on the wings as Raheem Sterling and Riyad Mahrez tortured Bellerin and Maitland-Niles, so Pedro, Willian, and Hazard could do the same on Saturday. On the other end, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette must improve along with pretty sleepy Mesut Ozil and Henrykh Mkhitaryan.

Betting Trends:

  • Of Arsenal’s 38 Premier League matches last season, 28 produced over 2.5 total goals (68%)
  • Arsenal won just one out of the previous nine away games in the Premier League

Despite the fact that Arsenal didn’t lose in the past six H2H duels, the Gunners are without a win at the Stamford Bridge since late October 2011 when they beat Chelsea, 5-3. Since then, Arsenal didn’t taste the victory in the next seven duels, while Chelsea recorded five wins in that span. However, the latest tilt between the rivals ended with Arsenal’s win when they get a 2-1 win at home in the semi-finals of the Carabao Cup last season. Five out of last seven H2H encounters produced over 2.5 goals, and although Arsenal didn’t score at the Stamford Bridge in five out of the last six visits, I am backing goals on both ends.

MY PICK: Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals (+100)