EPL Match of the Day Round 10 – Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City (10/29/18)


The Tottenham Hotspurs will have an opportunity to hand the visiting Manchester City their first loss in the Premier League this season, while the Citizens are looking to get another three points and join Liverpool at the top. The game between Tottenham and Manchester City will take place at the Wembley Stadium on October 29th, 2018.

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City 

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Three-Way: 1: Tottenham +375; X: +310 Draw; 2: Manchester City -133 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread +1:Tottenham -135; Manchester City +125

Total 3 goals: Over -104; Under -116


Curiously, the hosts are unbeaten in their last nine league games held on a Monday (W7, D2), a peculiarity that could give confidence to superstitious-minded home fans. A late equalizer gave Spurs a bout of European disappointment in their last outing, as they drew 2-2 to PSV and put their Champions League aspirations on a tightrope. Tottenham, however, is yet to draw in the PL (W7, D2), winning two of three home games so far.

Mauricio Pochettino’s side was a better team and they managed to tie the game in Eindhoven after Hirving Lozano’s opener in the 30th minute. Lucas Moura scored nine minutes later, while Harry Kane gave Tottenham a 2-1 lead in the 55th minute but Hugo Lloris received a red card after his awful challenge with ten minutes to go. Luuk de Jong salvaged a point for the Dutch team in the 87th minute and Spurs are facing an elimination.

Mauricio Pochettino cannot count on the defender Jan Vertonghen who is out until December with a hamstring injury, while the striker Vincent Janssen will be back around New Year when he recovers from a foot injury. Dele Alli (thigh) and Danny Rose (groin) are listed as questionable but they could feature on this one.

Betting Trends:

  • It’s been over a year since Spurs failed to score in a home league match (September 2017 vs Swansea)
  • Tottenham conceded at least a goal in four of their previous five home matches in all competitions


Manchester City will bid for a new, although obscure, a piece of Premier League history on Monday – if they beat Tottenham at Wembley they will be the first non-London club to win five-consecutive EPL fixtures in the capital. Unbeaten away from home this season in all competitions (W5, D2), the defending champions have scored two or more goals in five of those games, conceding just one Premier League goal on the road so far.

Pep Guardiola’s men are on a seven-game unbeaten run as they started playing way better since a 2-1 home loss to Lyon in the Champions League. The Citizens were dominant against Shakhtar Donetsk in Ukraine, defeating them, 3-0, thanks to David Silva, AymericLaporte, and Bernardo Silva, and City now have six points at the top of the group with a point ahead of Lyon.

Pep Guardiola will be without backup goalkeeper Claudio Bravo who is suffering from an Achilles tendon injury, while the right-back Danilo (ankle), midfielder IlkayGundogan (thigh), and defender EliaquimMangala (knee) are also sidelined and will not be able to help their teammates here.

Betting Trends:

  • Four of City’s last five Premier League games have been victories to nil
  • Pep Guardiola has faced Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino 13 times previously, losing just twice (W7, D4, L2)

Manchester City won ten out of the previous 15 H2H encounters and the Citizens are unbeaten in the last three meetings, while City won four out of the past seven duels in London.  I don’t expect a draw on this one as there’s been only two in the previous 20 top-flight H2Hs – with City winning 12, and Spurs the remaining eight. Spurs won two out of the last three H2H matches at home and this one is their chance to stay in the race for the top spot, so I am backing the hosts to get vital three points.

MY PICK: Tottenham Hotspur (+375)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Six out of the previous seven H2H clashes produced three or more goals, while both teams scored in five of those seven tilts, which was the case in four out of the past six when Tottenham is a host. Sergio Aguero and Harry Kane combined for 11 Premier League goals so far and I expect them to continue with good form here, so goals on both sides and over 2.5 goals seems like a sure shot.

MY PICK: BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals (-110)


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