The gap between city rivals is 15 points, but Manchester United perhaps has a bigger motivation to secure three points than Manchester City. The Red Devils are in the race for one of the places that will ensure the Champions League this season, while Manchester City is banned from European competitions for the next two years, so this game is only prestige for the Citizens. The match between Manchester United and Manchester City will take place at Old Trafford on March 8th, 2020.
Manchester United vs. Manchester City
Three-Way: 1: Manchester United +425; X: +350 Draw; 2: Manchester City -147 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread +1: Manchester United -120; Manchester City +120
Total 2.5 goals: Over -143; Under +134
Manchester United enters the Premier League round 15 points behind rivals Manchester City but takes some confidence from two wins in the last three H2Hs and a current run of nine competitive matches without defeat (W6, D3). However, the home side has won just two of the last 12 iterations of this derby.
At home, United played six straight competitive matches without both teams finding the net (W4, D1, L1). Home or away, just one of their last six league matches have featured at least three goals. Indeed, their rate of PL matches (39.29%) featuring three goals or more is the third-lowest in the league.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will be without Paul Pogba (foot) and Marcus Rashford (lower-back), while Timothy Fosu-Mensah (fitness) and Harry Maguire (ankle) are questionable to face City.
- Star signing Bruno Fernandes has scored three goals across his last four matches – all three in the first half and twice opening the scoring
- Six of Manchester United’s previous seven competitive home wins came to nil
Manchester City, meanwhile, won five straight matches in all competitions. Curiously, despite being the Premier League’s highest-scoring team (2.52 goals on average), they’ve scored just 1.6 on average per match across those five wins. Away from home (including games on neutral territory), they’ve scored 1.17 goals on average across their last six.
Interestingly, there’s been a penalty awarded in five straight City matches played away from home (league only), and incredibly the Sky Blues have missed all four! Of the efforts that have found the net across those matches, 70.59% arrived in the second half.
Pep Guardiola cannot count on Aymeric Laporte (thigh), while Leroy Sane (knee) and Kevin de Bruyne (shoulder) are questionable to feature on Sunday.
- City legend Sergio Agüero has three goals across City’s last five league matches; all scored after the 70th minute
- Manchester City is on a run of four straight Premier League matches featuring two goals or less
Manchester City won five of the previous ten H2H encounters (D1, L4), including three of the last five (L2), while the Citizens were victorious in each of the past three meetings at Old Trafford. United is unbeaten in the last nine games in all competitions, and it seems that Solskjaer (Ole) is truly “at the wheel” now. The Norwegian manager is trying to bring the Red Devils back to the UCL, and this game could decide United’s fate. I believe this duel is far more critical for the hosts because Man City is banished from European competitions. That’s why I am backing them to cover the +1 spread.
MY PICK: Manchester United AH +1 (-120)
ADDITIONAL PICK: Five of the previous seven H2H duels produced goals on both ends, while the rivals combined for Over 2.5 goals in the process. United has been pretty efficient lately, and I am backing the Red Devils to score at least one goal on Sunday. Man City is not the most efficient team in England without reason, so we should have goals on both sides here.
MY PICK: BTTS YES (-139)