Edmonton Oilers vs. Calgary Flames Free Pick 2/1/20

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Two clubs that split their season series two wins each a year ago, the Edmonton Oilers and the Calgary Flames clash at the Scotiabank Saddledome. This divisional matchup gets going at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 1, and it’s being televised live on CBC Sports.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Calgary Flames Odds

Calgary (-155) is favored over Edmonton (+135), and the Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 6 goals. The line for betting the total stands at -130 money on the over and +110 on the under.

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Calgary is 27-25 straight up (SU) and has not been kind to moneyline bettors (to the tune of -3.5 units) thus far. That winning percentage, the third-best in the Pacific Division in this young season, is a regression from the 50-32 record that the team managed during last year’s regular season campaign. Among the team’s 52 games this season, 23 have gone under the total, while 23 have gone over and just three have pushed. The team’s 13-11 SU at home this season.

The Flames have converted on 19.9 percent of their power play chances this year, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, their penalty kill is rated 12th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 81.9 percent of all penalties.

As a team, the Flames have been called for penalties 3.7 times per game overall this season, and 2.6 per game over their last five outings at home. The team’s had to defend opposition power plays for just 6.4 minutes per game over their last 10 matchups, overall.

With a .913 save percentage and 28.5 saves per game, David Rittich (20-17-5) has been the most dependable option in goal for Calgary this year. If the Flames, however, decide to rest him, head coach Geoff Ward might roll with Cam Talbot (7-10-10 record, .919 save percentage, 2.62 goals against average).

The Flames will continue seeking leadership from Matthew Tkachuk and Johnny Gaudreau. Tkachuk (41 points) has produced 16 goals and 25 assists and has recorded multiple points on 11 separate occasions this year. Gaudreau has 13 goals and 27 assists to his name and has notched a point in 29 games.

Edmonton has netted moneyline bettors 3.4 units this season and is currently 27-24 straight up (SU). Through 51 regular season contests, 25 of its games have gone over the total, while 23 have gone under the total and just two have pushed. The Oilers are 14-12 SU as the visiting team this season.

The Oilers come into the matchup with the second-best power-play unit in the NHL, as they’ve found the net on 29.4 percent of their extra-man chances in the 2019-20 season. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked eighth overall and it’s successfully killed off 82.6 percent of all opponent power plays.

Edmonton’s players have been whistled for penalties 3.4 times per game this season, 3.4 per game over their past five games total, and 2.8 per game over their last five games as the visiting team. The team has been forced to stave off opponent power plays just 8.0 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Mikko Koskinen (27.9 saves per game) has been the primary option in goal for Edmonton. Koskinen owns a 15-13-2 record, while registering a .911 save percentage and 2.87 goals against average this year.

For the visiting Oilers, much of the offense will be heavily coordinated by Leon Draisaitl (29 goals, 50 assists) and Connor McDavid (27 goals, 50 assists).

Edmonton Oilers vs. Calgary Flames Free Picks

Prediction: SU Winner – Oilers, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Trends

Calgary is 6-1 in games decided by a shootout this season while Edmonton is 2-2 in shootouts.

For both of these teams, the over has hit in three of their past five outings.

Edmonton has managed 29.2 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Calgary is averaging 34.8 shots per game over its last five at home.

Seven of Edmonton’s last ten games have been decided by two goals or more. The team is 7-0 in those games.

Edmonton skaters notched 26.7 hits per game last season, while the Flames accounted for 16.3 hits per contest.

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