The American Athletic Conference Tournament showdown between the Memphis Tigers (21-10, 10-8 AAC) and the East Carolina Pirates (11-20, 5-13 AAC) will be played at Dickies Arena. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 137.5 points with Memphis set as a 10.5-point favorite. Action gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPNU.
East Carolina Pirates vs. Memphis Tigers ATS Preview
In the Pirates’ last outing, they got blown out by the UCF Knights, 94-62. They were not able to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. East Carolina’s Jayden Gardner put together a solid performance, recording 17 points and seven rebounds. UCF’s 11.6 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over East Carolina, who had a mark of 20.7. The Knights’ mark was better than their season average of 17.7, while the Pirates’ was above their season average of 17.1. The two teams combined to score 156 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 137.5.
Although the Tigers were topped by the No. 21 Houston Cougars in their last matchup, 64-57, they did cover as 9-point underdogs. Precious Achiuwa was the game’s high scorer with 25 points on 9-for-20 shooting. Houston had a turnover percentage of 9.4 (better than their season average of 14.9). Memphis, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (15-21; 71.4 percent). The two teams combined to record 121 points, which finished under the projected point total of 135.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, Memphis should have a significant advantage. The Tigers defense ranks first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.412), while the East Carolina offense is ranked 314th in effective field goal percentage (0.467).
Of East Carolina’s 31 games, 16 have finished over the O/U total, while 17 of Memphis’ 31 games have finished under the projected point total. The Tigers come into this game with a substantial advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 21-10 SU and 19-10-2 ATS, while the Pirates are 11-20 SU and 15-15-1 ATS.
East Carolina Pirates vs. Memphis Tigers Free Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – East Carolina, ATS Winner – East Carolina, O/U – Over
Memphis averages 14.1 assists per game, which ranks 80th in the NCAA. East Carolina ranks 208th in assists allowed per game (13.8).
Memphis is 11-7 ATS at home, while East Carolina is 6-8 ATS on the road.
Memphis is 4-0-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 push in its last five games.
Across its past five games, East Carolina is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 7.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pirates have scored an average of 66.6 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 78.2 points per game (6.0 above their season average).