East Carolina Pirates at SMU Mustangs Betting Pick 01/22/20

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The East Carolina Pirates (8-10, 2-3 AAC) look to end a five-game road losing streak when they take on the SMU Mustangs (13-4, 3-2 AAC) at Moody Coliseum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 22, 2020.

East Carolina Pirates vs. SMU Mustangs ATS Preview

The Pirates were blown out by the Cincinnati Bearcats in their last outing, 82-57. With 16 points on 5-for-10 shooting, Brandon Suggs was East Carolina’s leading scorer. Cincinnati’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over East Carolina. The Bearcats had a rate of 13.7 (better than their season average of 18.4), while the Pirates posted a mark of 21.8 (above their season average of 17.1).

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The last time the Mustangs played, they beat the Temple Owls, 68-52. With 25 points on 9-for-14 shooting, Tyson Jolly was the game’s high scorer. SMU played a nearly flawless game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 37.5 (above their season average of 35.1) and a turnover percentage of 16.9 (worse than their season average of 16.5). Temple was 17.9 and 20.9, respectively, for those same stats.

The productive offense of SMU (11th in the country with an offensive efficiency of 112.4) will battle against the mid-tier defense of East Carolina (211th in the NCAA with a defensive efficiency of 100.5). The Mustangs should have the edge on that side of the ball.

These two teams have already met once this season. The Pirates won 71-68. The Pirates played a nearly perfect game. They had an effective field goal percentage of 0.527 and a turnover percentage of 11.3. The Mustangs recorded marks of 0.462 and 12.6, respectively, for those same stats. Despite the loss, Isiaha Mike was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points.

East Carolina Pirates at SMU Mustangs ATS Prediction

Free Pick: SU Winner – Smu, ATS Winner – East Carolina, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Mustangs rank 112th in steals per game (6.5) while the Pirates rank 148th in steals allowed per game (7.1).

SMU averages 16.6 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the NCAA. East Carolina ranks 137th in assists allowed per game (12.8).

The Mustangs rank 38th in rebounds per game (39.6) while the Pirates rank 145th (35.9).

SMU ranks 115th in three pointers attempted per game (23.0) while East Carolina ranks 210th in three pointers allowed per game (23.9).

Bettings Trends:

The Mustangs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, down from 8.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Pirates have scored an average of 61.6 points per game (7.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.8 points per game (1.4 below their season average).

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