Duke at Wake Forest College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19


The Duke Blue Devils (+7) aren’t traveling far to face the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at BB&T Field. This ACC game gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ACC Network.

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Duke at Wake Forest Betting Odds 11/23/2019

The line for this ACC game is placed at 7 points in favor of Wake Forest. The Blue Devils are currently receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Demon Deacons are -300. This ACC matchup could offer several in-game betting scenarios. The over/under has been set at 51 points.

This game’s O/U was originally set at 53.5, but the early action has moved toward the under.

The Blue Devils are 4-6 straight up (SU), including 2-4 SU against conference opponents. The Demon Deacons are 7-3 SU overall and 4-3 SU in conference play. The hapless Blue Devils have lost 5.0 units so far and are 3-5-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 7-3.

The Demon Deacons have gained 1.8 units this season. They’re 4-5-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-7.

When these two schools faced each other a year ago, Wake Forest knocked off Duke handily 59-7.

The Blue Devils lost to Syracuse 49-6 in a thumping where their defense allowed the Orange to run for 286 yards on 43 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Moe Neal had a productive day for the Orange in that one with 115 rushing yards and a score on 17 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, Quentin Harris completed only 19-of-36 passes for 157 yards and two interceptions. Deon Jackson (32 yards on 13 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Harris (four yards on 12 carries) led the ground attack. Noah Gray (six receptions, 39 yards) and Aaron Young (five catches, 63 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

A week ago, Clemson knocked off this Wake Forest team by a score of 52-3. The Deacs defense allowed the Tigers to pass for 348 yards and five touchdowns while rushing for 168 yards and two scores. Travis Etienne torched the defense, putting up 121 rushing yards and a score on 16 attempts for Clemson. For Wake Forest, Jamie Newman completed six-of-14 passes for 41 yards and two interceptions. Newman (19 yards on 12 rush attempts) mounted the running game while Kendall Hinton (two receptions, 17 yards) and Donavon Greene (two catches, 12 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

When looking at offensive play selection, each team has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Duke has run the ball on 55.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Wake Forest has a rush percentage of 54.8. The Blue Devils have run for 155 yards/game (including 151 per game against Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 14 scores on the ground this year. The Deacs are totaling 162 rush yards per contest (147 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.

The Blue Devils have averaged 183 yards in the air overall (172 per game versus conference opposition) and have 16 passing TDs so far. The Deacs have recorded 287 pass yards per outing (251.7 against ACC foes) and have 25 total pass scores.

Duke should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 174 yards and throw for 194 yards per game. Wake Forest has allowed 164.4 yards per game on the ground and 254.2 to opponents in the air. The Blue Devils are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.62 to opposing QBs, while the Deacs have allowed a 6.76 ANY/A.

Harris is up to 1,657 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 169-of-282 attempts with 13 passing touchdowns and nine interceptions. Harris has a 4.74 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 1.80 over the past two outings.

Jamie Newman has accounted for 2,100 yards, 20 TDs and seven INTs for Wake Forest. His ANY/A stands at 7.76 for the year and 1.94 across his past two outings.

Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons Free Pick

SU Winner – Wake Forest, ATS Winner – Wake Forest, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The O/U for Duke’s last game was set at 49. The over cashed in the team’s 49-6 defeat to Syracuse.

As a team, Duke has averaged 2.8 yards per rush attempt over its last three games and 2.9 over its last two.

Wake Forest has averaged 2.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 1.9 over its last two.

Wake Forest has lost two fumbles this season while Duke has lost 11.

In its last three contests, Duke is 0-2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Duke has lost six of its last seven games SU, with an 18-point win over Georgia Tech on October 12th representing the only victory over that stretch.

The O/U for Wake Forest’s last game was 58.5. The under cashed in the 52-3 defeat to Clemson.

In its last three matches, Wake Forest is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Blue Devils offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Demon Deacons have put up 10 such plays.

The Duke defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Wake Forest has given up seven such plays.

The Duke offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Wake Forest has created 13 such runs.

The Blue Devils defense has allowed 22 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Demon Deacons have given up 14 such runs.

The Duke defense has 23 sacks on the year while Wake Forest has 22.

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