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On Tuesday at 6:10, we have an American League matchup between the Tigers and Guardians. This one is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and features a Tigers club that is 18-17 compared to the Guardians at 23-12. Logan Allen will start for the Guardians, and the Tigers are sending Kenta Maeda to the mound.

Currently, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Guardians are the favorite on the money line at -124. Looking at the Tigers, they have a money line payout of +104. You can catch this one on BSGL.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -124

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:10 ET on Tuesday, May 7th.

HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS GUARDIANS:

  • We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cleveland picked up a 2-1 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a late rally, scoring one run in the 6th and another in the 7th, picking up the win as -121 favorites.

Detroit wasted a good outing from Jack Flaherty, as he gave up just two earned runs in six innings of work for the Tigers. Nick Sandlin got the win out of the bullpen for the Guardians.

Triston McKenzie started for Cleveland, giving up just one earned run across five innings. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Tigers, Riley Greene hit the game's only home run and went 1/5.

Tigers Records & Stats

Detroit is on the road today vs. the Guardians, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, spanning across the last two games of their series vs. the Royals and the first two games of this series vs. the Guardians. Currently, they are 4th in the AL Central, five games behind the Guardians.

So far, the Tigers have gone 9-5 in divisional games. At home, they are 8-9 this year and have gone 10-8 on the road. This season, the Tigers have an overall record of 18-17. Detroit has been the underdog in four straight games, and they are 9-10 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Tigers are 9-7. They have an overall series record of 6-3-2.

The Tigers have been a profitable team against the run line on the road this season, going 11-7. They have a run line record of 16-19 overall, with an average run differential of +0.1 runs per game. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 13-6, compared to just 3-13 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +2.7 runs per game, while it is -2.7 runs per game in losses.

Despite the Detroit Tigers' games averaging 7.6 runs per game, their over/under record for the season is 15-18. The over/under line for today's game against the Cleveland Guardians is set at 8.5 runs. So far this season, the Tigers have played in 4 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 1-5. Overall, 71.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today's 8.5-run line.

Kenta Maeda will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and gave up just one earned run. In that start vs. the Cardinals, he went six innings. Overall, Maeda has made six starts and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 5.02. Looking at his numbers, Maeda has a WHIP of 1.22 and opponents are batting .246 this season. The right-hander has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 6.91 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed a total of eight home runs. Maeda's ERA at home is 6.16 compared to 8.1 on the road.

Heading into today's game, the Tigers are 21st in the league in scoring, averaging 3.8 runs per contest. This number is the same whether they are at home or on the road. As a team, they are batting just .223, which is 18th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .299 is also below average. Detroit's team OPS of .654 is also one of the worst marks in the league.

Riley Greene has been one of the team's top hitters this season, coming in with a batting average of .266 and a league-leading nine home runs. He has also been hot of late, going 12/38 in his last 10 games with four homers. Wenceel Pérez has also been swinging the bat well, going 9/28 in his last nine games.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 23-12, good or 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians come in having won three straight games, and they are 5-1 against other teams in the AL Central so far. Their overall series record this year is 8-3.

The Guardians have been tough to beat at home this year, coming in with an 11-5 record. They have also been good on the road, going 12-7. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 11-3 this year. As the favorite, the Guardians are 14-6 this year and 9-6 as the underdog. Cleveland's home win streak is at three games, and they are 10-4 as the home favorite this year. Looking at their overall record, the Guardians are 5-5 across their last 10 games.

When the Cleveland Guardians win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. This has led to a strong run line record of 23-12 overall, including a 12-3 mark as the underdog. Their overall run line record is 10-6 at home and 13-6 on the road. The Guardians have been favored in 20 games and have gone 11-9 against the run line in those contests.

For the season, the Cleveland Guardians have a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. Their over/under record is 18-15, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Guardians have gone 4-8 to the over. Overall, 54.3% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Left-hander Logan Allen gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Tigers at home. Allen has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 5.11. Looking at his overall numbers, Allen has a WHIP of 1.41 and opponents are batting .265 this year. In his 37 innings of work, Allen has issued 12 walks and has a total of seven home runs allowed. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.54 strikeouts compared to 2.92 walks.

So far this season, the Guardians offense has been good, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Guardians are batting .242, which is 9th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs. Cleveland has been tough to strike out this season, but they are just 18th in the league in walks.

Steven Kwan has been one of the league's top hitters this season, batting .353 with three homers. Josh Naylor leads the team with eight home runs and is 6th in the league in RBIs. However, he has struggled a bit of late, going 7/29 in his last eight games. Jose Ramirez has also struggled of late, going just 4/31 in his last nine games.