Two franchises that split their head-to-head series one win apiece last year, the Detroit Red Wings and the Minnesota Wild take the ice at the Xcel Energy Center. This East-West matchup gets started at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 22 and it can be viewed live on NBC Sports Network.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Minnesota Wild Odds
Minnesota (-260) is the solid favorite over Detroit (+220), and the Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 6 goals. The odds for betting the total stand at -120 for the over and even money (+100) for the under.
Minnesota is 22-27 straight up (SU) and has not been kind to moneyline bettors (to the tune of -4.7 units) thus far. That early-season winning percentage is right in line with what the team posted during the 2018-19 season (37-45). Through 49 regular season matches, 24 of the team’s games have gone over the total, while 21 have gone under and just four have pushed. The team’s 13-10 SU at home this season.
The Wild have converted on 20.5 percent of their power play chances this year, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, their penalty kill is rated 28th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 75.2 percent of all penalties.
As a collective unit, the Wild have been penalized 3.6 times per game overall this season, and 4.2 per game over their last five at home. The team’s had to kill penalties for just 8.4 minutes per game over their last 10 matchups, in total.
Sporting a .903 save percentage and 25.4 saves per game, Alex Stalock (12 wins, 13 losses, and three OT losses) has been the most dependable goalkeeper for Minnesota this year. If the Wild decide to give him a rest, however, head coach Bruce Boudreau might turn to Devan Dubnyk (8-15-15 record, .892 save percentage, 3.35 goals against average).
The Wild will continue seeking leadership out of Eric Staal and Ryan Suter. Staal (36 points) has produced 16 goals and 20 assists and has recorded multiple points on seven different occasions this year. Suter has seven goals and 28 assists to his name and has recorded a point in 24 games.
On the other bench, Detroit is 12-38 straight up (SU) and has lost 19.1 units for moneyline bettors this year. A total of 23 of its games have gone over the total, while 22 have gone under the total and just five have pushed. The Red Wings are 4-20 SU as the visiting team this season.
The Red Wings have converted on just 14.4 percent of their power play chances this year, a figure that places them in the bottom- overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 30th overall and it’s successfully defended 73.4 percent of all penalties.
Detroit’s skaters have been penalized 3.7 times per game in total this season, 4.2 per game over their past five outings total, and 3.4 per game over their last five road outings. The team’s had to kill penalties just 7.2 minutes per game over their last five road outings.
Jonathan Bernier (2.99 goals against average and .904 save percentage) has been the primary option in goal for Detroit. Bernier is averaging 26.0 saves per game and has 10 wins, 18 losses, and two OT losses to his credit.
Tyler Bertuzzi (17 goals, 19 assists) and Dylan Larkin (13 goals, 22 assists) have been standout playmakers for Detroit and will lead the attack for the visiting Red Wings.
Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild Free Picks
Free NHL Pick: SU Winner – Wild, O/U – Under
Over Minnesota’s last ten outings, five of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 1-4 in those games).
Detroit has allowed 3.9 goals per game overall this season, but has allowed 5.0 goals per matchup over its last five games (0-5 SU over that span).
The Red Wings are 6-12 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 8-26 in games where they’re in the box for fewer than 10 total penalty minutes.
Minnesota is 1-2 in games decided by a shootout this season while Detroit is 1-1 in shootouts.
The over has hit in three of the last five games for both teams.
Detroit skaters have averaged 8.6 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 12.2 giveaways per game (ranked 27th overall).
Minnesota skaters have averaged 5.0 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 6.7 giveaways per game (ranked 1st overall).
Detroit skaters have accounted for the league’s 10th-most hits per game (22.7).