Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Free Pick 11/29/19


In their first head-to-head matchup of the regular season, the Detroit Red Wings and the Philadelphia Flyers collide at the Wells Fargo Center. The first puck will drop at 4 p.m. ET on Friday, November 29, and fans at home can catch this Eastern Conference matchup live on Fox Sports Detroit.

Detroit Red Wings vs. Philadelphia Flyers Odds

Philadelphia enters the matchup as the noticeable favorite with a moneyline of -250. The line for Detroit now stands at +210 and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 6 goals. If you want to play the game’s total, you’ll be looking at odds of -110 for the over and -110 on the under.

Philadelphia is 13-12 straight up (SU) and has earned 1.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. That early-season winning percentage isn’t too far off from to what the team posted during last year’s regular season (37-45). Through 25 regular season outings, 14 of the team’s games have gone under the total, while 11 have gone over and none have pushed. The team is 7-5 SU at home this year.

The Flyers have converted on 19.8 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked fourth overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 86.1 percent of all penalties.

As a collective unit, the Flyers have been whistled for penalties just 3.2 times per game overall this season, and 2.2 per game over their last five at home. The team has been forced to defend opponent power plays for just 5.8 minutes per game over their last 10 matchups, overall.

With a .900 save percentage and 20.3 saves per game, Carter Hart (seven wins, nine losses, and three OT losses) has been the most dependable goalkeeper for Philadelphia this year. If head coach Alain Vigneault decides to give him the day off, however, the team could turn to Brian Elliott (6-7-7 record, .915 save percentage, 2.68 goals against average).

Travis Konecny and Claude Giroux will each spearhead the attack for the Flyers. Konecny (24 points) has tallied eight goals and 16 assists and has recorded multiple points on five separate occasions this year. Giroux has eight goals and 10 assists to his credit and has notched at least one point in 11 contests.

Over on the other bench, Detroit is 7-20 straight up (SU) and has lost 8.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline thus far. A total of 12 of its matches have gone over the total, while 10 have gone under the total and five have pushed. As the away team, the Red Wings are 3-11 SU so far.

The Red Wings have converted on just 13.6 percent of their power play chances this year, a mark that places them in the bottom-five overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 30th overall and it’s successfully killed off 72.6 percent of all penalties.

Detroit’s players have been penalized 3.6 times per game in total this season, and 4.4 per game over their last five on the road. The team’s been forced to stave off opponent power plays just 8.3 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Jonathan Bernier (.893 save percentage and 3.32 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Detroit. Bernier is averaging 25.6 saves per game and owns a 5-11-2 record.

Anthony Mantha (12 goals, 11 assists) and Tyler Bertuzzi (10 goals, 12 assists) are the top offensive options for Detroit and will pace the attack for the visiting Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings vs. Philadelphia Flyers Betting Predictions

Prediction: SU Winner – Flyers, O/U – Over


Betting Trends

Five of Philadelphia’s last ten games have ended in a shootout. The team is 2-3 in those games and 3-5 overall in shootouts this year.

Three of Philadelphia’s last five outings gone under the total.

Detroit has managed 26.2 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Philadelphia is averaging 35.4 shots per game over its last five at home.

Four of Detroit’s last ten games have been decided by two goals or more. The team is 1-3 in those games.

Detroit skaters notched 21.3 hits per game last season, while the Flyers logged 21.4 hits per matchup.

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