The Washington Wizards (13-28) will be at home in Capital One Arena when they clash with the Detroit Pistons (16-27). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 233 points with Washington set as a 1-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 2 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards Odds Preview
The Pistons had no trouble getting past the Atlanta Hawks in their last outing, 136-103, comfortably covering as 1.5-point favorites. With 16 points, 17 rebounds and five steals, Detroit’s Andre Drummond put together a good game. Detroit played a perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.221 (above their season average of 0.199) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.680 (above their season average of 0.534). Atlanta had marks of 0.140 and 0.484, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 239 points, which finished over the projected point total of 227.5.
In the Wizards’ previous game, they were thoroughly outplayed by the Toronto Raptors, 140-111, and failed to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. Troy Brown Jr. led Washington in scoring with 22 points on 9-for-13 shooting. Toronto made 22 of their 43 three pointers (51.2 percent). Washington, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.7 (above their season average of 22.6). The two squads collectively scored 251 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 230.5.
It will be a showdown of opposite paces as the fast-breaking Wizards will look to push the more methodical Pistons. The Wizards currently rank seventh in possessions per game while the Pistons are 21st.
Games including these teams have typically gone over the O/U total. Detroit games have finished over 60.5 percent of the time, while Washington games have gone over 56.1 percent of the time. The Pistons have the superior straight up (SU) record (16-27 vs. 13-28), but the Wizards hold the sizable advantage against the spread (ATS) (20-21 vs. 16-25-2).
These two teams have already met three times this year, with the Wizards leading the series two games to one. Anzejs Pasecniks had 17 points and six rebounds in the most recent contest, in which the Wizards lost 132-102, unable to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The two teams combined to put up 234 points, which was 5.5 points above the projected point total of 228.5 points. Detroit’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Washington. The Pistons had a rate of 0.645 while the Wizards posted a mark of 0.451.
Detroit Pistons vs. Washington Wizards Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
The Pistons average 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Wizards rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.4).
Washington ranks 14th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while Detroit ranks 25th (8.2).
Detroit ranks 13th in assists per game (24.6) while Washington ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.6).
Washington is 9-10 ATS at home, while Detroit is 8-12-2 ATS on the road.
Of the Pistons’ 22 road games, they have 12 overs and 10 unders.
In 19 home games, the Wizards have 10 overs, 8 unders and 1 push.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Washington is 3-0 and Detroit is 4-0.
The Wizards are 11-27 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 15-19.
The Pistons rank second in three pointers allowed per game (30.2) while the Wizards rank 14th (33.3).
Detroit ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.2) while Washington ranks 24th (46.5).
The Pistons average 49.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.3).
The Pistons rank 15th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Wizards rank 26th (4.2).
Washington ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while Detroit ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.3).
Washington is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Detroit is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 14.6, up from 5.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 114.6 points per game (5.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.2 points per game (1.7 below their season average).