Home NBA Free NBA Picks Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds Pick 03/01/20

Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds Pick 03/01/20

The Sacramento Kings (25-34) will be at home in the Golden 1 Center when they go head-to-head with the Detroit Pistons (20-41). Sacramento is a 7.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 217 points. Action gets underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 1, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.

Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings Odds Preview

In the Pistons’ last matchup, they edged the Phoenix Suns, 113-111, despite being 9-point underdogs. Derrick Rose was the game’s leading scorer with 31 points on 15-for-24 shooting. The Pistons forced 18 turnovers and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.3 vs. 19.2). The two teams combined to put up 224 points, which was over the O/U total of 218.

The Kings will look to maintain momentum after barely hanging on to beat the Memphis Grizzlies in their last matchup, 104-101, as 2-point underdogs. With 25 points on 10-for-19 shooting, De’Aaron Fox was Sacramento’s leading scorer. Sacramento played a nearly flawless game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 8.2 (better than their season average of 12.5) and a free throw rate of 0.187 (above their season average of 0.174). For those same stats, Memphis had marks of 10.7 and 0.165, respectively. The two squads combined to put up 205 points, which was well under the O/U total of 226.5.

Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Sacramento ranks 22nd in possessions per game (100.9) and Detroit is 25th (100.6).

Of Detroit’s 61 games, 37 have finished over the O/U total, while 30 of Sacramento’s 59 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Kings have a sizable advantage. They are 25-34 SU and 31-28 ATS, while the Pistons are 20-41 SU and 23-36-2 ATS.

These two clubs have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 233 points, which was over the projected point total of 222. The Pistons won 127-106, covering as 2-point underdogs. Detroit did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (37-44; 84.1 percent). Sacramento, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.1 vs. 8.3). Rose recorded a double-double with 22 points and 11 assists.

Detroit Pistons vs. Sacramento Kings Prediction

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (29.6) while Sacramento ranks 16th (34.0).

Sacramento averages 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Detroit ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.1).

The Kings rank 28th in rebounds per game (42.3) while the Pistons rank 29th (42.1).

Detroit is 12-16-2 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 11-16 ATS at home.

Bettings Trends:

Sacramento is 5-0 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Kings have outscored opponents by an average of 6.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Sacramento has been defeated by an average of 2.1 points.

During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 106.6 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (4.1 above their season average).

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