Home NBA Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Pick 02/28/20

Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Pick 02/28/20

The Detroit Pistons (19-41), who are currently on a seven-game skid, look to get back in the win column when they visit Talking Stick Resort Arena to meet the Phoenix Suns (24-35). Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.

Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Suns Free Preview

The Pistons were beaten by the Denver Nuggets in their last game, 115-98. They were unable to cover as 13.5-point underdogs. Detroit’s Christian Wood put together a good performance, leading the team in scoring with 20 points on 7-for-16 shooting. Denver had an effective field goal percentage of 0.638 (above their season average of 0.528). Detroit, meanwhile, forced the Nuggets into a turnover percentage of 17.4 (above their season average of 11.4). The two teams combined to put up 213 points, which was just over the projected point total of 212.5.

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The last time the Suns were in action, they were defeated by the Los Angeles Clippers, 102-92, and failed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. Deandre Ayton was the game’s high scorer with 25 points on 11-for-22 shooting. Los Angeles held the Suns to an effective field goal percentage of 0.443 (below their season average of 0.525). Phoenix, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6 (above their season average of 22.2). The two clubs collectively scored 194 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 233.

It could be a sloppy game for the Detroit offense. Detroit ranks 28th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.7 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Phoenix forces the third-most turnovers in the league (15.0 percent).

Of Detroit’s 60 games, 36 have finished over the projected point total, while 30 of Phoenix’s 59 games have finished under the O/U total. The Suns come into this game with a sizable advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 24-35 SU and 27-31-1 ATS, while the Pistons are 19-41 SU and 22-36-2 ATS.

Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Pistons, it’s been Wood, who has averaged 19 points,10.2 rebounds,1.4 blocks, while the Suns have gotten great contributions from Ricky Rubio (15 points,9.0 assists,3.2 steals).

These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 224 points in that game, which was over the projected point total of 217. The Pistons won 116-108, covering as 3-point underdogs. Detroit had a much better turnover percentage (5.6 vs. 15.2). Phoenix, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (12-15; 80.0 percent). Andre Drummond put up a double-double in the victory with 31 points and 19 rebounds.

Pistons vs. Suns Free Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Suns rank 11th in steals per game (8.0) while the Pistons rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.1).

Phoenix ranks 21st in rebounds per game (43.2) while Detroit ranks 27th (42.3).

Detroit ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (48.6) while Phoenix ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.7).

On the road, Detroit is 11-16-2 ATS with 15 overs and 14 unders.

Phoenix is 11-18-1 ATS at home with 16 overs and 14 unders.

In games where they allow less than 100 points, Phoenix is 7-2 and Detroit is 4-3.

When reaching the century mark, the Suns are 23-28 and the Pistons are 18-28.

The Pistons rank 19th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Suns rank 26th (3.9).

Phoenix ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Detroit ranks 23rd (15.9).

The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.1) while the Pistons rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.9).

The Pistons rank second in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while the Suns rank sixth (32.1).

Detroit ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.4) while Phoenix ranks 25th (12.2).

Bettings Trends:

Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Detroit is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Suns have outscored opponents by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Phoenix has been defeated by an average of 1.1 points.

During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 99.2 points per game (8.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.2 points per game (0.7 below their season average).

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