The Orlando Magic (23-31), the NBA’s top scoring defense, will take on the Detroit Pistons (19-37) at Amway Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 206 points with Orlando opening as a 7-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 12, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic Betting Preview
The Pistons lost to the Charlotte Hornets in their last matchup, 87-76, despite being 3.5-point favorites. Detroit’s Bruce Brown had a good performance, putting up 10 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. Charlotte had a turnover percentage of 9.6 (better than their season average of 12.9). Detroit, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 37.3 (above their season average of 22.7). The two teams combined to put up 163 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 206.5.
In the Magic’s last matchup, they covered the 8.5-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks, 135-126. Orlando received a boost from Nikola Vucevic, who contributed 24 points, nine rebounds and nine assists. The Magic, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.9, had a fantastic mark of 34.1 and had a turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 11.0). The two clubs collectively scored 261 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 223.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Orlando currently ranks 29th in possessions per game (99.4) and Detroit is 25th (100.6).
These two teams are complete opposites in terms of the O/U total. Games including Detroit have finished over 58.9 percent of the time, while 55.6 percent of Orlando games have finished under. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Magic have a clear advantage. They are 23-31 SU and 23-27-4 ATS, while the Pistons are 19-37 SU and 20-34-2 ATS.
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Pistons, it’s been Christian Wood, who has averaged 19 points,8.0 rebounds,1.2 steals, while the Magic have received great contributions from Aaron Gordon (17 points,8.0 rebounds,4.0 assists,1.6 steals).
These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 191 points in that game, which was well under the projected point total of 208.5. The Pistons won 103-88, covering as 5-point favorites. The Pistons played a nearly flawless game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.266 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.4. For those same stats, the Magic were 0.190 and 16.7, respectively. Luke Kennard scored a game-high 20 points.
Detroit Pistons vs. Orlando Magic ATS Prediction
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
The Magic rank first in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Pistons rank 19th (13.5).
Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while Orlando ranks eighth (32.7).
Orlando ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Detroit ranks 18th (7.9).
Detroit is 9-15-2 ATS on the road, while Orlando is 10-15-2 ATS at home.
The total has gone over in 13 of the Pistons’ 26 road games, while 18 of the Magic’s 27 home games have gone under.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Orlando is 12-4 and Detroit is 4-3.
The Pistons are 18-25 when they score above 100 points, while the Magic are 19-12.
The Magic rank 18th in rebounds per game (44.5) while the Pistons rank 29th (42.3).
Orlando ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.8) while Detroit ranks 27th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
The Pistons rank sixth in points in the paint per game (49.4) while the Magic rank 26th (44.6).
The Magic rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while the Pistons rank ninth (12.5).
Orlando ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.0) while Detroit ranks 21st (17.4).
Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Detroit is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.6, up from 1.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 93.4 points per game (14.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.8 points per game (11.7 below their season average).