Detroit Pistons vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds Pick 01/04/20

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The Golden State Warriors (9-27) will be at home in the Chase Center when they clash with the Detroit Pistons (12-23). Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 4, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.

Detroit Pistons at Golden State Warriors Free Preview

The last time the Pistons played, they were beaten by the Los Angeles Clippers, 126-112. They failed to cover as 13-point underdogs. Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a solid game, recording 10 points and 12 rebounds. Los Angeles had an effective field goal percentage of 0.603 (above their season average of 0.524). Detroit, meanwhile, did a great job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (25-35; 71.4 percent). The two teams combined to score 238 points, which was over the O/U total of 223.5.

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The Warriors were not able to cover as 3-point underdogs in their 99-84 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last contest. Glenn Robinson III was Golden State’s leading scorer with 16 points on 7-for-14 shooting. Minnesota had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.1 (above their season average of 22.5). Golden State, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (15-21; 71.4 percent). The two squads collectively scored 183 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 211.5.

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after splitting two games last season. In the most recent game, the Warriors won 121-114. Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Detroit. The Warriors had a rate of 0.709 while the Pistons posted a mark of 0.536.

In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games featuring Detroit have gone over 57.1 percent of the time, while Golden State games have finished under 55.6 percent of the time. The Pistons have the superior straight up (SU) record (12-23 vs. 9-27), but the Warriors hold the significant advantage against the spread (ATS) (17-19 vs. 12-21-2).

Detroit should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Pistons rank seventh in effective field goal percentage (0.535), while Golden State ranks 27th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.545).

Detroit Pistons at Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Warriors rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Pistons rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).

Detroit averages 24.5 assists per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.2).

Golden State averages 8.2 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Detroit ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (8.1).

Detroit averages 4.7 blocks per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.5).

Detroit is 4-11-2 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 8-9 ATS at home.

The total has gone under in 11 of the Warriors’ 17 home games, while 9 of the Pistons’ 17 road games have gone under.

When allowing below 100 points, Golden State is 4-2 and Detroit is 4-0.

When scoring above 100 points, the Warriors are 9-17 and the Pistons are 11-17.

The Pistons average 13.7 second chance points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).

Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (30.9) while Golden State ranks 25th (35.1).

The Pistons rank eighth in points in the paint per game (48.7) while the Warriors rank 27th (43.9).

The Warriors average 13.2 fast break points per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Pistons rank 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5).

Detroit ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while Golden State ranks 21st (46.4).

Bettings Trends:

Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Detroit is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.6, down from 7.7 for the season.

During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.6 points per game (7.2 above their season average).

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