Home NBA Free NBA Picks Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Odds Pick 01/24/20

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Odds Pick 01/24/20

The New Orleans Pelicans (17-28) will be at home in the Smoothie King Center when they clash against the Denver Nuggets (30-14). New Orleans is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 231 points. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Friday, January 24, 2020, and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt.

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans Free Preview

The Nuggets fell to the Houston Rockets in their last outing, 121-105. They failed to cover as 10-point underdogs. Despite the loss, Denver’s Nikola Jokic recorded his seventh triple-double of the season. He had a solid game, accumulating 19 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists. Houston did a terrific job of converting from the free throw line (24-28; 85.7 percent). Denver, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (13.2 vs. 14.4). The two teams combined to put up 226 points, which finished just under the projected point total of 226.5.

The last time the Pelicans played, they were 3.5-point favorites and fell to the San Antonio Spurs, 121-117. With 14 points, 12 assists and eight rebounds, Lonzo Ball put together a solid performance for New Orleans. San Antonio had a better turnover percentage (9.9 vs. 12.5). New Orleans, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (25-32; 78.1 percent). Combined, the two teams scored 238 points, which came in just over the projected point total of 235.5.

This game should be a matchup of contrasting tempos. New Orleans prefers an up-tempo style of play (third in possessions per game), while Denver is methodical (28th in possessions per game).

In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games including Denver have finished under 59.1 percent of the time, while New Orleans games have gone over 57.8 percent of the time. The Nuggets have the better straight up (SU) record (30-14 vs. 17-28), but the Pelicans hold the significant advantage against the spread (ATS) (21-21-3 vs. 17-21-6).

These two teams have met twice already this year, with the Pelicans winning both. Brandon Ingram scored a game-high 31 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Pelicans, who were 9-point underdogs, beat the Nuggets 112-100. He also put up seven rebounds. The two teams combined for 212 points, which was just 4 points below the projected point total of 216 points. New Orleans had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.1 vs. 25.5). Denver, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (10.7 vs. 15.9).

Nuggets at Pelicans Prediction

Free Pick: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Pelicans rank fifth in fast break points per game (16.4) while the Nuggets rank 23rd (11.7).

Denver averages 26.2 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the league. New Orleans ranks 17th in assists allowed per game (24.4).

Denver ranks seventh in second chance points per game (13.9) while New Orleans ranks 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).

Denver is 9-9-3 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 11-11 ATS at home.

The total has gone under in 11 of the Nuggets’ 21 road games, while 13 of the Pelicans’ 22 home games have gone over.

When allowing below 100 points, New Orleans is 3-0 and Denver is 11-1.

The Nuggets are 28-10 when they reach the century mark, while the Pelicans are 17-25.

The Nuggets average 8.0 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Pelicans rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.2).

New Orleans ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (38.6) while Denver ranks 28th (29.8).

The Nuggets rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Pelicans rank 27th (18.7).

Denver ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (50.3) while New Orleans ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.7).

Bettings Trends:

New Orleans is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Denver is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Pelicans have outscored opponents by an average of 3.2 points in their last five games. For the season, New Orleans has lost by an average of 3.2 points.

During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.6 points per game (4.6 above their season average).

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