Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Odds Pick 12/22/19

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A seven-game road winning streak hangs in the balance for the Dallas Mavericks (19-9) when they square off with the Toronto Raptors (20-8) at Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is a 2.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 217 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 22, 2019, and it can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

In the Mavericks’ last outing, they easily got past the Philadelphia 76ers, 117-98, despite being 8.5-point underdogs. With 22 points and 18 rebounds, Kristaps Porzingis had a good game for Dallas. The Mavericks knocked down 17 of their 22 free throws (77.3 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.602 (above their season average of 0.546). The two teams combined to score 215 points, which came in just over the O/U total of 212.

Although the Raptors topped the Washington Wizards in their last matchup, 122-118, they were not able to cover as 6.5-point favorites. Toronto received a boost from Serge Ibaka, who had 23 points and 10 rebounds. The Raptors made 34 of their 44 free throws (77.3 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.564 (above their season average of 0.527). The two squads collectively scored 240 points, which finished over the projected point total of 230.5.

The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the productive offense of Dallas takes on the stingy defense of Toronto. The Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors are second in defensive efficiency.

Of Dallas’ 28 games, 18 have finished over the projected point total, while 14 of Toronto’s 28 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have solid straight up (SU) records (19-9 for Dallas; 20-8 for Toronto), but the Mavericks hold a slight edge against the spread (ATS). Dallas is 17-11 ATS, while the Raptors are 16-12.

These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined for 212 points in that game, which was under the projected point total of 218. The Mavericks won 110-102, covering as 5-point favorites. The Mavericks dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.307 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.5. The Raptors were 0.124 and 14.0, respectively, for those same stats. Luka Doncic recorded a double-double with 26 points and 15 rebounds.

Mavericks vs. Raptors Odds Prediction

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Raptors rank fourth in steals per game (8.4) while the Mavericks rank 27th (6.4).

Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Toronto ranks 21st (5.5).

Dallas ranks third in second chance points per game (14.9) while Toronto ranks 26th (12.0).

Dallas averages 24.6 assists per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Toronto ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.4).

Dallas is 11-2 ATS on the road with 9 overs and 4 unders.

At home, Toronto is 10-5 ATS with 10 overs and 5 unders.

In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Toronto is 9-1 and Dallas is 4-0.

When scoring above 100 points, the Raptors are 18-6 and the Mavericks are 19-8.

The Raptors rank second in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while the Mavericks rank 24th (15.5).

Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.6) while Toronto ranks last in three pointers allowed per game (38.8).

The Raptors rank first in fast break points per game (19.2) while the Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (15.9).

The Raptors rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.0) while the Mavericks rank 16th (47.4).

Dallas averages 47.9 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Toronto ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (48.3).

Bettings Trends:

Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.0, down from 6.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (2.4 above their season average).

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