Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds Pick 01/23/20


The Portland Trail Blazers (19-26) will be at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they clash against the Dallas Mavericks (27-16). Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 23, 2020.

Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers Free Preview

The last time the Mavericks played, they lost a tough one against the Los Angeles Clippers, 110-107, despite being 2.5-point favorites. Dallas’ Luka Doncic had a solid game, leading both teams in scoring with 36 points on 12-for-26 shooting. Los Angeles did a terrific job of making free throws (26-33; 78.8 percent). Dallas, on the other hand, held the Clippers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.433 (below their season average of 0.531). The two teams combined to score 217 points, which was under the O/U total of 231.5.

Although the Trail Blazers beat the Golden State Warriors in their last game, 129-124, they were not able to cover as 7.5-point favorites. With 61 points on 17-for-37 shooting, Damian Lillard was the game’s leading scorer. The Trail Blazers made 27 of their 30 free throws (90.0 percent) and held the Warriors to an effective field goal percentage of 0.453 (below the 0.515 mark opponents have averaged against Portland this season). The two clubs combined to account for 253 points, which was well over the projected point total of 222.

These two teams have met twice already this year, each winning once. In the most recent contest, Doncic scored a game-high 35 points and the Mavericks beat the Trail Blazers 120-112, covering as 7.5-point favorites. He also had eight rebounds and seven assists. The two teams combined for 232 points, which was just 4 points above the projected point total of 228 points. Dallas did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (22-28; 78.6 percent). Portland, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.571 vs. 0.551).

Of Dallas’ 43 games, 26 have finished over the projected point total, while 22 of Portland’s 45 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Mavericks have a sizable advantage. They are 27-16 SU and 25-18 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 19-26 SU and 16-27-2 ATS.

Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Mavericks, it’s been Tim Hardaway Jr., who has averaged 19 points,5.8 rebounds, while the Trail Blazers have received solid contributions from Lillard (30 points,7.4 assists).

Portland should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Portland ranks third in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while Dallas forces the fewest turnovers (11.6 percent). Furthermore, the Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency (114.8), while the Trail Blazers rank 22nd in defensive efficiency (110.0).

Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Mavericks rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while the Trail Blazers rank 18th (5.2).

Dallas ranks 23rd in points in the paint per game (45.2) while Portland ranks 28th (43.5).

Dallas ranks 15th in assists per game (24.2) while Portland ranks last (19.7).

Dallas ranks 28th in steals per game (6.3) while Portland ranks last (5.9).

Dallas is 15-4 ATS on the road, while Portland is 6-13-1 ATS at home.

The Mavericks have 12 overs and 7 unders in 19 road games.

The Trail Blazers have 12 overs and 8 unders in 20 home games.

When holding opponents below 100 points, Portland is 4-0 and Dallas is 7-0.

The Trail Blazers are 19-20 when they score above 100 points, while the Mavericks are 27-14.

The Trail Blazers rank 14th in fast break points per game (12.8) while the Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.3).

Dallas ranks first in second chance points per game (15.0). Portland ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.6).

The Mavericks average 47.6 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 29th in rebounds allowed per game (48.5).

The Trail Blazers rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while the Mavericks rank seventh (15.2).

Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.0) while Portland ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (34.8).

Bettings Trends:

Portland is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Over its last five games, Dallas is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Trail Blazers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 2.2 for the season.

During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 117.4 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (2.8 below their season average).

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