At 8:30 ET, the Lakers (-154) will host the Mavericks (+128) in a Western Conference matchup. The Lakers are favored by 3 and have a record of 20-21, which puts them 10th in the Western Conference. The Mavericks are 24-17 and are currently 5th in the West.

This game will be played at Arena in Los Angeles and can be seen on ABC. The over/under line is set at 242 points.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +3

This game will be played at Arena at 8:30 ET on Wednesday, January 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-113 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.8% and knocking down 18 threes.

Will Dallas Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

Dallas has won four straight games as the underdog and is 7-9 as the underdog this season. Today, they are 3-point underdogs on the road against the Lakers. In their last 16 games as the underdog, the Mavericks are 8-8 against the spread.

The Mavericks’ O/U record for the season is 24-17, and 33 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s (242). On average, their games have finished with 235.8 points.

In their last game, the Mavericks beat the Pelicans by a score of 125-120. The O/U line for that game was 236.5, and Dallas covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs.

With a record of 24-17, the Mavericks are currently in 5th place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-3 compared to 18-14 against Western Conference opponents.

Overall, the Mavericks are 23-18 against the spread this season, including a 12-7 ATS record on the road. In their last two games as the favorite, they have failed to cover the spread.

Heading into their game against the Lakers, the Mavericks are ranked 7th in the league in scoring at 118.7 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 116.4 points per game.

When it comes to pace, Dallas is 11th in the NBA at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Mavericks are 16th in the league at 47%.

One of the strengths of the Mavericks’ offense is their three-point shooting. They are 2nd in the NBA in both three-point attempts (41.1 per game) and makes (15.2 per game). Overall, they are hitting 37% of their shots from beyond the arc.

On defense, the Mavericks are ranked 20th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 63.4% of their games. Opponents are hitting 55.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.

Can Los Angeles Pull Off a Home Win?

In their last game, the Lakers defeated the Thunder by a score of 112-105. The combined scoring in the game was 217 points, which was below the O/U line of 241. LA covered the spread as 2.5-point underdogs.

On the season, the Lakers have an O/U record of 21-20, and 40 of their 41 games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 242. This year, their games have averaged 229.6 points per game.

When looking at their ATS record, the Lakers are 17-24 overall and have gone 9-12 against the spread at home. As the favorite, they are 9-14 vs. the spread and have lost three straight ATS as the favorite.

Coming into today’s game, the Lakers are 20-21 on the season, which puts them in 10th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 15-14 compared to 5-7 against non-conference opponents.

The Lakers are currently favored by 3 points against the Mavericks. In Western Conference play, they have a record of 14-8 at home and 6-14 on the road. At home, they have an average scoring differential of +4.2 PPG.

Heading into the game, the Lakers are 19th in the NBA in scoring at 114.1 points per game. At home, they are averaging 114.5 points per game compared to 113.6 on the road.

Los Angeles has been one of the most efficient teams inside the arc, shooting 55% on two-point attempts which is 7th in the league. However, they are just 24th in three-point shooting at 35%.

When it comes to pace, the Lakers are 6th in the NBA at 100.6 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 8th in the league with an average of 27.7 per game.

The Lakers’ defense is presently ranked 16th in the league, allowing an average of 115.5 points per contest. Los Angeles struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Thunder, giving up 8. For the game, Oklahoma City scored 105 points in the game.