The Atlanta Hawks (16-41) will be at home in State Farm Arena when they meet the Dallas Mavericks (34-22). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 239 points with Dallas opening as a 6-point favorite. Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 22, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest.
Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks Free Preview
In the Mavericks’ last outing, they were victorious over the Orlando Magic, 122-106, despite being 8.5-point underdogs. Luka Doncic was the game’s leading scorer with 33 points on 10-for-21 shooting. The Mavericks knocked down 21 of their 26 free throws (80.8 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.601 (above their season average of 0.546). The two teams combined to score 228 points, which finished just over the projected point total of 226.
The Hawks hope to maintain momentum after beating the Miami Heat in their last game, 129-124, as 6-point underdogs. Atlanta was lifted by Trae Young, who was the game’s high scorer with 50 points on 12-for-25 shooting. The Hawks, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.512, had a solid mark of 0.576 and had a free throw rate of 0.365 (above their season average of 0.202). The two squads combined to account for 253 points, which was well over the projected point total of 229.
These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 223 points in that game, which was under the projected point total of 236. The Mavericks won 123-100, covering as 5-point favorites. The Mavericks played a nearly perfect game. They had a great effective field goal percentage of 0.574 and a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 8.2. The Hawks put up marks of 0.462 and 9.9, respectively, for those same stats. Jalen Brunson was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points.
Games involving these teams tend to go over the projected point total. Dallas games have gone over 63.6 percent of the time, while Atlanta games have finished over 57.9 percent of the time. The Mavericks hold a significant advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 34-22 SU and 32-23 ATS, while the Hawks are 16-41 SU and 26-30-1 ATS.
It will be a matchup of conflicting tempos as the fast-breaking Hawks will look to push the more grind-it-out Mavericks. The Hawks currently rank third in possessions per game while the Mavericks are 21st. Additionally, the Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency (115.4), while the Hawks rank 28th in defensive efficiency (112.2).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.1) while the Hawks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.1).
Atlanta ranks 18th in fast break points per game (12.2) while Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
Atlanta ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (50.3) while Dallas ranks 26th (44.5).
Dallas averages 24.3 assists per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Atlanta ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.7).
Dallas is 20-6 ATS on the road with 17 overs and 9 unders.
Atlanta is 16-10-1 ATS at home with 15 overs and 12 unders.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Dallas is 8-0 and Atlanta is 4-0.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Hawks are 16-34 and the Mavericks are 34-20.
The Mavericks rank ninth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Hawks rank 28th (9.0).
Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Atlanta ranks 29th (6.3).
The Mavericks average 14.5 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Hawks rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.9).
The Hawks average 35.5 three pointers per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (34.0).
Dallas ranks sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while Atlanta ranks 29th (19.9).
Atlanta is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its past five games, Dallas is 2-3 ATS with 5 overs.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.2, down from 8.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 121.0 points per game (4.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (1.4 above their season average).