Colorado at UCLA College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19

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In a display of two schools that prefer to run the football, Head Coach Chip Kelly and the UCLA Bruins (-6) are set to take the field against their Pac-12 foe Colorado Buffaloes at Rose Bowl. The game kicks off at 9:00 p.m. ET and Pac-12 Networks is in line to televise the action.

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Colorado at UCLA Betting Odds 11/2/2019

The line for this Pac-12 game is sitting at 6 points in favor of UCLA. The Buffaloes are currently receiving +185 moneyline odds while the Bruins are -230. This Pac-12 tilt will probably present some live betting possibilities. The over/under has been set at 65 points.

The Buffaloes are 3-5 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Bruins are 3-5 SU overall and are also 3-2 SU in conference play. The Buffaloes are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.2 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 4-3-1.

The surprising Bruins have gained 4.2 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.

UCLA comes into this one on a four-game losing streak while Colorado has won its last two in a row. The Buffaloes hope to get back on track after a 35-31 loss to USC last week. Steven Montez completed 27 passes for 324 yards and three touchdowns. Alex Fontenot (57 rushing yards on 16 attempts) led the ground attack. Laviska Shenault Jr. (nine receptions, 172 yards, one TD) and Tony Brown (five catches, 67 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

UCLA just earned a 42-32 win over Arizona State. The defensive unit let the Sun Devils run for 116 yards on 28 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Frank Darby had a good outing in the defeat for Arizona State, posting 110 yards and two touchdowns on six catches. For UCLA, Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 16-of-23 passes for 176 yards and two touchdowns. Joshua Kelley (164 rushing yards on 34 attempts, four TDs) led the running game as Kyle Philips (three receptions, 39 yards, one TD) and Ethan Fernea (three catches, 45 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Colorado has run the ball on 50.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UCLA has a rush percentage of 55.7 percent. The Buffaloes have produced 160 rush yards/game (including 168 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 11 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bruins are totaling 167 rushing yards per contest (221 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Buffaloes ought to hold an advantage when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has given up only 34 sacks while the D-line logged 29 sacks. The Bruins offensive line has allowed 32 sacks and their defense has recorded only 15 sacks.

The Buffaloes have logged 262 yards per contest in the air overall (254 per game against conference opposition) and have 14 passing TDs so far. The Bruins have put up 237 pass yards per outing (267.8 against Pac-12 competition) and have 16 total pass scores.

Defensively, Colorado has allowed opponents to run for an average of 160 yards and pass for 327 yards per game. UCLA has been a bit better than that, allowing 143.4 rushing yards per game and 306.8 to opponents in the air. The Buffaloes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 8.40 to opponents, while the Bruins have allowed a staggering 9.35 ANY/A.

Montez is up to 1,918 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 164-of-253 attempts with 13 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Montez has a 7.12 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.26 over the last two games.

Laviska Shenault Jr., Alex Fontenot and Tony Brown have collectively accounted for 558 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.

Dorian Thompson-Robinson has tallied 1,419 yards, 13 TDs and six INTs for UCLA. His ANY/A sits at 6.57 for the season and 5.60 over his last two outings.

We also expect the UCLA offense to utilize a balanced attack this Saturday. Joshua Kelley, Kyle Philips and Dorian Thompson-Robinson have combined for 573 yards from scrimmage and nine touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

These two squads met last year with the final result being a 38-16 win for Colorado.

Colorado Buffaloes at UCLA Bruins Bedding Prediction

SU Winner – UCLA, ATS Winner – UCLA, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The UCLA defense has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this year. Colorado has registered 13 sacks.

The UCLA offense has lost seven fumbles in 2019 while the Colorado offense has lost two.

The Buffaloes offense has tallied five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bruins have accounted for three such plays.

Both defenses have allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Colorado defense has given up 17 pass plays of 30+ yards while UCLA has given up 18 such plays.

The Colorado offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while UCLA has created 10 such runs.

Both defenses have allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Buffaloes have given up 29 running plays of 10+ yards while the Bruins have given up 37 such plays.

The Over/Under for UCLA’s last matchup was 56.5. The over cashed in that 42-32 win over Arizona State.

In its last three matchups, UCLA is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

Over its last three games, Colorado is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Colorado has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a three-point victory over Arizona State on September 21st accounting for the only win over that span.

The O/U for Colorado’s previous game was set at 64.5. The over cashed in the team’s 35-31 defeat to USC.

As a team, Colorado has produced 4.9 yards per carry across its past three contests and 5.4 over its last two.

UCLA has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.8 over its last two.

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