A pretty large slate of college basketball games on tap for Thursday. When that happens, most times I’ll just have totals, as doing the power rating calculations is extremely time consuming, but I will do them for all of the games once the conference tournaments begin.
We’ll look at four of the biggest differences tonight as our games for Thursday.
Game 584, NC-Wilmington at William & Mary: The total has dropped quite a bit after openeing at 173 as the current line is William & Mary -7.5 with a total of 168.5. I’m not entrirely sure I agree with the line move in this one, as I made the game 96-85 for the home team. Both teams are allowing more than 80 points per game. The first game between the two ended up 84-81 for Williams & Mary. Wilmington had a huge offensive rebounding advantage in that one, why resulted in them getting off a lot more shots. This one could be close at the end once again, but will be on the over.
Game 598, Monroe at South Alabama: The home team is favored by 3.5 and the total is up slightly to 139, while I have this one 68-62 for South Alabama, giving us a difference of 9 points towards the under. The first meeting between the two was pretty high scoring, which is likely one reason the total has climbed a little bit, but don’t think both teams will have the same success from the field as they did in that game.
Game 586, Rice at Florida Atlantic: Florida Atlantic is favored by 6 and the total on the game is 138. I have FAU coming away with a 7-63 victory, so an 8-point difference between our number and the line. The first meeting between the two saw a total of 125 points, with both teams shooting in the low 40s. Things could open up a little bit in this one, but bothteams are prone to struggle scoring, so will be on the under in this one.
Game 576, Hofstra at James Madison: Hofstra is favored by 3 and the total is 149.5, while I have this one ending up 78-78, so a 6.5-point difference, which isn’t quite as great as we’d like to see. Hofstra came away with an 87-81 victory in the first game, as JMU was less than 40% from the field. Both teams shot well from 3-point range in the game, something we’ll need to happen once again in this one.