Coastal Carolina at Massachusetts NCAA Football Betting Pick 9/21/19


The Minutemen of Massachusetts (+17) are gearing up to welcome the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-17) to Warren P. McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and FLOF will broadcast the action.

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Coastal Carolina vs. Massachusetts Betting Odds 9/21/2019

This game’s line is sitting at 17 points in favor of Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers are currently being given -1400 moneyline odds while the Minutemen are +780. The over/under has been set at 63 points. If one side can create a bunch of points early, it will probably create a nice live betting opportunity.

The line opened at 16.5. The game’s over/under has yet to change after being set initially at 63.

The Chanticleers are 2-1 straight up (SU) while the Minutemen are 0-3 SU. The Chanticleers are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 1.2 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 0-2.

The Minutemen have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 3.3 units. They’re 0-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.

The Chanticleers are coming off a resounding 46-7 win over Norfolk State last week. The passing game left much to be desired as the Chanticleers completed 14-of-30 passes for 120 yards and two touchdowns. Fred Payton went seven-for-19 for 65 yards while Bryce Carpenter completed three-of-seven for 19 yards and one touchdown. CJ Marable (101 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) and Jacqez Hairston (46 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the running attack while Marable (two receptions, 12 yards) and Jai Williams (two catches, 16 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Massachusetts most-recently fell 52-17 to Charlotte. Andrew Brito completed 18-of-27 passes for 127 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Bilal Ally (59 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and Cam Roberson (73 yards on 10 carries) handled the running game while Jermaine Johnson Jr. (five receptions, 38 yards, one TD) and Jessie Britt (four catches, 15 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Coastal Carolina has run the ball on 61.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Massachusetts has a rush percentage of 56 percent. The Chanticleers have produced 216 rush yards per game and have five scores on the ground this year. The Minutemen are logging 148 rushing yards per contest and have four total rush TDs.

If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it seems like the Chanticleers might own the edge when it comes to efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Minutemen have ran for 3.8 yards per carry and given up 6.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Chanticleers have averaged 181 yards through the air overall and have five passing scores so far. The Minutemen have recorded 149 pass yards per outing and have three total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Coastal Carolina should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 106 rush yards and 123 pass yards per game. Massachusetts has allowed 260.3 rushing yards per game and 269.3 to opposing teams in the air. The Chanticleers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.59 to opponents, while the Minutemen have given up an ugly 10.86 ANY/A.

Payton is up to 369 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 36-of-62 attempts with two passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Payton has a 3.59 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.03 over the last two outings.

We’re expecting the Chanticleers to control the pace by getting the ball in the hands of their running backs. The duo of CJ Marable (150 rush yards, one rush TD, 96 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Jacqez Hairston (48 rush yards, one rush TD) have brought significant production to the Coastal Carolina offense.

For the home team, Andrew Brito has produced 142 yards, one TD and two INTs. Brito’s ANY/A sits at a minuscule 1.16 for the season and 2.65 over his last two outings.

The Minutemen will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Bilal Ally (zero receiving yards), Cam Roberson (129 rush yards, one rush TD) and Zak Simon (34 receiving yards) have gotten plenty of action lately.

When these two schools met a year ago, Coastal Carolina earned the win 24-13.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Massachusetts Minutemen NCAA Pick

SU Winner – Chanticleers, ATS Winner – Chanticleers, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The Coastal Carolina D has sacked opposing QBs five times this year. Massachusetts has recorded three sacks.

The Massachusetts offense has lost zero fumbles this season while the Coastal Carolina offense has lost one.

The Chanticleers offense has produced one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Minutemen have accounted for zero such plays.

The Coastal Carolina defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Massachusetts has given up four such plays.

The Coastal Carolina offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Massachusetts has created four such runs.

The Chanticleers defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Minutemen have given up seven such runs.

The O/U for Massachusetts’ previous matchup was set at 66. The over cashed in the 52-17 defeat to Charlotte.

In its last three matchups, Massachusetts is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Coastal Carolina has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last two outings.

Massachusetts has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last two.

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