The Oklahoma City Thunder (30-20) will be at home in Chesapeake Energy Arena when they clash against the Cleveland Cavaliers (13-38). Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder Free Preview
The Cavaliers fell to the New York Knicks in their last contest, 139-134. They were unable to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. With 33 points on 12-for-20 shooting, Kevin Love was the top scorer from either team. New York held the Cavaliers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.8 (below their season average of 24.5). Cleveland, meanwhile, was lights out from beyond the arc (18-35; 51.4 percent). The two teams combined to put up 273 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 216.
The last time the Thunder played, they covered the 1-point spread against the Phoenix Suns, 111-107. Oklahoma City rallied around Chris Paul, who recorded 20 points, 10 assists and six rebounds. The Thunder forced 19 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 19.3). The two clubs collectively scored 218 points, which was under the projected point total of 224.
These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 227 points in that game, which was over the projected point total of 213.5. The Thunder won 121-106, covering as 6.5-point favorites. The Thunder dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 35.3 and a free throw rate of 0.219. The Cavaliers recorded marks of 20.9 and 0.165, respectively, for those same stats. Sexton scored a game-high 30 points.
Of Cleveland’s 51 games, 29 have finished over the projected point total, while 27 of Oklahoma City’s 50 games have finished under the O/U total. The Thunder hold a substantial advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 30-20 SU and 33-16-1 ATS, while the Cavaliers are 13-38 SU and 21-28-2 ATS.
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Cavaliers, it’s been Collin Sexton, who has averaged 22 points,4.0 assists,1.4 steals, while the Thunder have gotten great contributions from Dennis Schroder (25 points,6.8 assists).
A focal point for the Oklahoma City offense is getting to the free throw line. The Thunder rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.230), but Cleveland is among the best in the NBA at keeping opponents away from the charity stripe (ranking second by yielding a FTA rate of 0.161).
Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Over
The Thunder rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (9.1).
Cleveland ranks 13th in points in the paint per game (48.4) while Oklahoma City ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.6).
Oklahoma City ranks ninth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.9) while Cleveland ranks 29th (19.9).
Cleveland ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 10th (44.3).
Oklahoma City is 13-11-1 ATS at home, while Cleveland is 12-11-1 ATS on the road.
The Cavaliers have 14 overs and 10 unders in 24 road games.
The Thunder have 13 overs and 12 unders in 25 home games.
When allowing under 100 points, Oklahoma City is 7-3 and Cleveland is 4-3.
When scoring above 100 points, the Thunder are 29-12 and the Cavaliers are 12-26.
The Cavaliers rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.7) while the Thunder rank 29th (10.7).
Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Cleveland ranks last (6.4).
The Thunder rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.7) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (15.0).
The Cavaliers rank 18th in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while the Thunder rank 26th (29.9).
Oklahoma City ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.7) while Cleveland ranks 29th (26.1).
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Cleveland is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs.
The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.4, up from 2.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (10.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.0 points per game (7.0 above their season average).