Home NBA Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Odds Pick 02/28/20

Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Odds Pick 02/28/20

The New Orleans Pelicans (25-33) will be at home in the Smoothie King Center when they square off against the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-41). Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio.

Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans Odds Preview

The Cavaliers beat the Philadelphia 76ers in their last contest, 108-94, despite being 7.5-point underdogs. With 13 points and 15 rebounds, Cleveland’s Larry Nance Jr. put together a solid outing. Cleveland dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.192 (above their season average of 0.171) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3 (above their season average of 24.7). For those same stats, Philadelphia was 0.101 and 16.7, respectively. The two teams combined to score 202 points, which was under the O/U total of 216.5.

The last time the Pelicans played, they were topped by the Los Angeles Lakers, 118-109, and were unable to cover as 7-point underdogs. Brandon Ingram led New Orleans in scoring with 34 points on 12-for-20 shooting. Los Angeles held the Pelicans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.0 (below their season average of 23.9). New Orleans, on the other hand, did an excellent job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (23-30; 76.7 percent). The two clubs combined to put up 227 points, which came in under the O/U total of 239.

New Orleans may have difficulty getting to the free throw line in this meeting. The Pelicans rank 23rd in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.184, while Cleveland ranks second in FTA rate allowed (0.164).

Of Cleveland’s 58 games, 31 have finished over the O/U total, while 33 of New Orleans’ 58 games have finished over the projected point total. The Pelicans have the better straight up (SU) record (25-33 vs. 17-41) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (28-26-4 vs. 26-30-2).

Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Cavaliers, it’s been Tristan Thompson, who has averaged 15 points,8.8 rebounds, while the Pelicans have received great contributions from Zion Williamson (27 points,6.0 rebounds).

These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 236 points in that game, which was just over the projected point total of 232. The Pelicans won 125-111, covering as 8.5-point favorites. New Orleans’ effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Cleveland. The Pelicans had a rate of 0.608 while the Cavaliers posted a mark of 0.490. In the victory, Jrue Holiday led all scorers with 28 points.

Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Cavaliers rank 10th in points in the paint per game (48.8) while the Pelicans rank 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.8).

New Orleans ranks fifth in rebounds per game (46.6) while Cleveland ranks 19th (44.6).

New Orleans ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (37.9) while Cleveland ranks 19th (31.9).

New Orleans ranks 18th in steals per game (7.4) while Cleveland ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (9.3).

Cleveland is 14-12-1 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 14-14 ATS at home.

The total has gone over in 16 of the Pelicans’ 28 home games, while 15 of the Cavaliers’ 27 road games have gone over.

When holding opponents under 100 points, New Orleans is 3-0 and Cleveland is 5-3.

In games where they reach 100 points, the Cavaliers are 16-28 and the Pelicans are 25-30.

The Cavaliers rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Pelicans rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).

New Orleans averages 26.7 assists per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (26.1).

The Pelicans rank fifth in fast break points per game (16.9) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (10.1).

The Pelicans rank 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.6) while the Cavaliers rank last in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.3).

New Orleans ranks 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while Cleveland ranks 29th (6.4).

Bettings Trends:

New Orleans is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Cleveland is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Pelicans have outscored opponents by an average of 6.8 points in their last five games. For the season, New Orleans has lost by an average of 1.2 points.

During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 115.6 points per game (9.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (4.7 below their season average).

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