Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick 12/14/19

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The Milwaukee Bucks (23-3) welcome the Cleveland Cavaliers (6-19) to Fiserv Forum. The Bucks will try to extend their 17-game winning streak. Action starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 14, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

In the Cavaliers’ last game, they defeated the San Antonio Spurs, 117-109, despite being 12-point underdogs. Kevin Love was the game’s high scorer with 30 points on 11-for-24 shooting. The Cavaliers held the Spurs to an offensive rebounding percentage of 4.9 (below their season average of 22.9) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.536 (above their season average of 0.495). The two teams combined to put up 226 points, which came in over the O/U total of 218.5.

The Bucks hope to maintain momentum after defeating the Memphis Grizzlies in their last matchup, 127-114, as 9-point underdogs. Milwaukee was lifted by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who led the team in scoring with 37 points on 12-for-23 shooting. Milwaukee played a nearly perfect contest. They had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.322 (above their season average of 0.196) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.569 (above their season average of 0.563). Memphis had marks of 0.184 and 0.490, respectively, for those same stats. Combined, the two squads scored 241 points, which was over the O/U total of 232.5.

These two teams have met twice already this year, with the Bucks winning both. Antetokounmpo scored a game-high 33 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Bucks beat the Cavaliers 119-110 but could not cover as 11.5-point favorites. He also recorded 12 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 229 points, which was just 1 points below the projected point total of 230 points. The Bucks dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.193 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0. For those same stats, the Cavaliers were 0.057 and 18.2, respectively.

Of Cleveland’s 25 games, 14 have finished under the O/U total, while 13 of Milwaukee’s 25 games have finished over the projected point total. The Bucks hold a substantial advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 23-3 SU and 13-12 ATS, while the Cavaliers are 6-19 SU and 10-13-2 ATS.

The high-powered offense of Milwaukee (second in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 113.2) will battle against the bottom-tier defense of Cleveland (28th in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 112.6). The Bucks figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Bucks rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (19.0) while the Cavaliers rank 29th (14.0).

Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.7) while Cleveland ranks 20th (43.6).

Cleveland ranks sixth in three pointers allowed per game (31.8) while Milwaukee ranks 28th (38.6).

Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.4) while Cleveland ranks 14th (12.8).

Milwaukee is 7-6 ATS at home, while Cleveland is 5-6-1 ATS on the road.

The total has gone over in 7 of the Bucks’ 13 home games, while 6 of the Cavaliers’ 12 road games have gone over.

In games where they allow under 100 points, Milwaukee is 6-0 and Cleveland is 2-3.

The Cavaliers are 6-10 when they reach 100 points, while the Bucks are 23-3.

The Bucks rank second in fast break points per game (18.6) while the Cavaliers rank 24th (11.1).

Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.1) while Cleveland ranks 28th (52.2).

The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Cavaliers rank 27th (8.5).

The Bucks rank seventh in assists per game (25.8) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (20.7).

Milwaukee ranks sixth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Cleveland ranks last (7.2).

Bettings Trends:

Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Cleveland is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 17.8, up from 13.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 99.2 points per game (4.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.8 points per game (0.8 above their season average).

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