The Miami Heat (35-20) will be at home in AmericanAirlines Arena when they challenge the Cleveland Cavaliers (15-40). Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 22, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat Free Preview
The last time the Cavaliers played, they were victorious over the Washington Wizards, 113-108, covering as 3-point favorites. With 16 points and 10 rebounds, Cleveland’s Cedi Osman played well. The Cavaliers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.517, had a superb mark of 0.599, while the Wizards had a free throw rate of 0.160 (below their season average of 0.205). The two teams combined to put up 221 points, which finished under the projected point total of 234.5.
The Heat were unable to cover as 6-point favorites in their 129-124 loss to the Atlanta Hawks in their last contest. Bam Adebayo was Miami’s leading scorer with 28 points on 9-for-20 shooting. Atlanta made 16 of their 35 three pointers (45.7 percent). Miami, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.0 (above their season average of 20.7). The two squads collectively scored 253 points, which was well over the O/U total of 229.
The sweet-shooting offense of Miami will face off against the bottom-tier defense of Cleveland. The Heat rank fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.544), while the Cavaliers are 30th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.558). The Heat figure to have the edge on that side of the ball. Moreover, the Cavaliers, who rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.6 percent), will square off against the Heat, who rank third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.8 percent).
Of Cleveland’s 54 games with betting action, 29 have finished over the O/U total, while 32 of Miami’s 55 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Heat have a significant advantage. They are 35-20 SU and 28-25-2 ATS, while the Cavaliers are 15-40 SU and 23-29-2 ATS.
These two teams have already met twice this year, with the Heat winning both. Kevin Love had 25 points and 13 rebounds in the most recent contest, in which the Cavaliers lost 124-100, unable to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The two teams combined for 224 points, which was 11 points above the projected point total of 213 points. The Heat played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.295 and a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3. The Cavaliers recorded marks of 0.161 and 23.8, respectively, for those same stats.
Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Over
Miami ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while Cleveland ranks 25th (14.9).
Miami averages 25.4 assists per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (25.9).
The Heat rank 24th in points off turnovers per game (15.6) while the Cavaliers rank last (13.9).
Cleveland is 13-11-1 ATS on the road, while Miami is 16-8-1 ATS at home.
Miami is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its past five outings, Cleveland is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Heat have been outscored by an average of 4.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Miami has defeated opponents by an average of 3.2 points.
During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 113.8 points per game (7.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 118.8 points per game (3.9 above their season average).