Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns Week 14 Betting Free Pick

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The Cincinnati Bengals (+11) aren’t traveling far to take on their AFC North rival Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns Betting Odds 12/8/2019

Cleveland is favored by 11 points in this AFC game. The Bengals are currently getting +340 moneyline odds while the Browns are -500. The over/under is set at 43 points. On the surface it looks like there should be some solid live betting opportunities in this showdown.

The Bengals are 1-11 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against AFC North opponents. The Browns are 5-7 SU overall and 2-1 SU versus divisional foes. The less-than-stellar Bengals are down 10.3 units so far in 2019 and 5-6-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-8-1.

The Browns are down 2.8 units this season. The team is 4-7-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-7.

The Bengals are trying to keep things going following a solid 22-6 victory over the Jets in Week 13. The defense did its part in the win, limiting the opposition to just 239 passing yards and 62 rushing yards. Robby Anderson had a good day for the Jets in that one with 101 yards on seven catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Andy Dalton completed 22-of-37 passes for 243 yards and one touchdown. Joe Mixon (44 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win. Tyler Boyd (five receptions, 59 yards, one TD) and C.J. Uzomah (five catches, 51 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Back in Week 13, Pittsburgh knocked off this Cleveland crew by a score of 20-13. The Browns defensive unit allowed the Steelers to eat up the clock by rushing for 124 yards on 32 attempts, along with one rushing TD. James Washington had a solid outing for Pittsburgh, accounting for 111 yards on four catches. For Cleveland, Baker Mayfield completed 18-of-32 passes for 196 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Nick Chubb (58 rushing yards on 16 attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat while Jarvis Landry (six receptions, 76 yards) and Hunt (five catches, 19 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Cincinnati has run the ball on 35.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cleveland has an overall rush percentage of 42.5 percent. The Bengals have produced 78 rush yards per game (including 87 per game versus North opponents) and have five scores via handoffs this year. The Browns are putting up 123 rushing yards per contest (134 in conference) and have 12 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Browns may have the advantage in terms of RB effectiveness. Their running backs has generated 4.8 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 4.7 to opponents. The Bengals have rushed for 3.6 yards per carry while allowing 4.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Bengals have averaged 247 yards in the air overall (191 per game versus conference opposition) and have 12 passing TDs so far. The Browns have recorded 245 pass yards per game (243.7 against AFC foes) and have 15 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Cincinnati has allowed 158 rush yards and 259 pass yards per game. Cleveland has been a bit better than that, giving up 124.0 yards per game on the ground and 233.8 to opposing teams in the air. The Browns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.8 to opposing QBs, while the Bengals have given up a 7.92 ANY/A.

Dalton is up to 2,495 passing yards this season. He’s completed 226-of-375 attempts with 10 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. Dalton’s got a 5.27 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.66 over the last two outings.

Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon and Auden Tate have combined to account for 385 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last two outings.

Baker Mayfield has tallied 2,590 yards, 12 TDs and 13 INTs for Cleveland. His ANY/A stands at 5.00 for the year and 6.71 over his past two games.

Nick Chubb (1,069 rushing yards, six rush TDs, 187 receiving yards on the year), Jarvis Landry (771 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Odell Beckham Jr. (721 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have combined for 580 total yards and four touchdowns over the last two games.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Pick

SU Winner – Browns, ATS Winner – Browns, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Trends

In terms of explosive plays, each team has produced seven pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Bengals have have made 13 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Browns have created 17 such plays.

The Cincinnati defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Cleveland has given up seven such plays.

The Cincinnati offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Cleveland has created seven such runs.

The Bengals defense has allowed 20 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Browns have given up six such runs.

The Cleveland defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 35 times this year. Cincinnati has produced just 20 sacks.

Cincinnati has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its past three games and 2.8 over its last two.

Cleveland has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.5 over its past two.

In its last three games, Cleveland is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Cincinnati’s last game was 43.5. The under cashed in the team’s 22-6 win over the Jets.

Over its last three matches, Cincinnati is 2-0-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Cleveland’s last game going into it was 40.5. The under cashed in the 20-13 defeat to Pittsburgh.

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