Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Week 15 Betting Pick


The Chicago Bears (+5) are set to pay a visit to their NFC North counterpart Green Bay Packers (-5) at Lambeau Field. This pivotal early afternoon matchup is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX will broadcast the action.

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Odds 12/15/2019

Green Bay is giving up 5 points in this NFC game. The Bears are currently being given +160 moneyline odds while the Packers are -180. The over/under is set at 41 points. Multiple good in-game betting opportunities might be unveiled during this contest.

The total has not moved after it was initially set at 41. Having said that, the line opened at -7 so the early action has leaned toward the Bears.

The Bears are 7-6 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against NFC North opponents. The Packers are 10-3 SU overall and 3-0 SU against divisional foes. The Bears are 4-9 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.1 units so far in 2019. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 5-8.

The surprising Packers have gained 6.3 units this season. The team is 8-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 6-7.

The Bears just pulled off a 31-24 victory over Dallas in Week 14 in which Mitchell Trubisky completed 23 passes on 31 attempts for 244 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. David Montgomery (86 rushing yards on 20 attempts) and the signal-caller Trubisky (63 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the running attack in the win. Tarik Cohen (six receptions, 24 yards) and Allen Robinson II (five catches, 48 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties.

Green Bay enters this one having just earned a 20-15 win over Washington in Week 14. The team’s defense let the Redskins run for 121 yards on 28 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Adrian Peterson was a bright spot in the loss, recording 76 rushing yards and a score on 20 attempts for Washington. For Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers completed 18-of-28 passes for 195 yards and one touchdown. Aaron Jones logged an outstanding statline in the win. In addition to 134 yards on 16 rush attempts (and one TD), Jones also reeled in six receptions for 58 yards.

Breaking down the offensive play selection, each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Chicago’s run the ball on 40.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Green Bay has a rush percentage of 42.2. The Bears have rushed for 85 yards/game (including 72 per game against North opponents) and have seven touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Packers are putting up 107 rush yards per contest (120 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Packers ought to have an edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has yielded just 31 sacks while their D-line has logged 32 sacks. The Bears O-line has given up 35 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss just 30 times.

The Bears have averaged 221 yards through the air overall (236 per game versus conference opposition) and have 19 passing TDs so far. The Packers have recorded 252 pass yards per game (231.7 against NFC foes) and have 23 total pass scores.

Chicago should possess an advantage in both defensive phases. The team has let opponents run for an average of 96 yards and pass for 247 yards per game. Green Bay has allowed 122.8 yards per game on the ground and 263 to opponents in the air. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.67 to opposing QBs, while the Packers have given up a 6.31 ANY/A.

Rodgers has produced 3,017 yards, 19 TDs and two INTs for Green Bay. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.97 for the year and 7.85 over his past two games. In the other locker room, Trubisky is up to 2,102 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 224-of-354 attempts with 13 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Trubisky has a 4.95 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 8.22 over the last two outings.

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Free Betting Pick

SU Winner – Packers, ATS Winner – Bears, O/U – Under


Betting Trends

The Over/Under for Chicago’s previous game going into it was 41.5. The over cashed in the team’s 31-24 victory over Dallas.

Chicago has produced 3.7 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.2 over its last two.

Green Bay has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.7 over its last two.

Green Bay has lost seven fumbles this season while Chicago has lost five.

In its last three contests, Chicago is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Green Bay’s last matchup was 41.5. The under cashed in that 20-15 win over Washington.

In its last three matches, Green Bay is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Bears offense has tallied two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Packers have accounted for 10 such plays.

The Chicago defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while Green Bay has given up 12 such plays.

Both teams have produced five rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Chicago offense has recorded 20 running plays of 10+ yards while Green Bay has accounted for 37 such plays.

Both defenses have allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Bears have given up 27 running plays of 10+ yards while the Packers have given up 32 such plays.

The Green Bay defensive unit has tallied 32 sacks on the year while Chicago has 30.