Charlotte Hornets at Utah Jazz Free Pick 01/10/20

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The Utah Jazz (25-12) welcome the Charlotte Hornets (15-25) to Vivint Smart Home Arena. The Jazz will attempt to continue their seven-game winning streak. Utah is a 13-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 212.5 points. Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, January 10, 2020.

Charlotte Hornets at Utah Jazz Free Preview

The Hornets lost a close one to the Toronto Raptors in their last matchup, 112-110. Charlotte’s Miles Bridges had a good performance, putting up 26 points and nine rebounds. Toronto had a turnover percentage of 8.9 (better than their season average of 12.5). Charlotte, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (19-26; 73.1 percent). The two teams combined to score 222 points, which was well over the projected point total of 206.5.

In the Jazz’s last matchup, they comfortably covered the 13.5-point spread against the New York Knicks, 128-104. Utah was led by Rudy Gobert, who had 16 points and 16 rebounds. Utah dominated every facet of the contest. They had a free throw rate of 0.156 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.633 (above their season average of 0.540). For those same stats, New York had marks of 0.113 and 0.479, respectively. The two squads combined to score 232 points, which came in well over the O/U total of 213.5.

These two clubs have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 221 points, which was over the projected point total of 208. The Jazz won 114-107, covering as 7-point favorites. Utah did a terrific job of making free throws (19-20; 95.0 percent). Charlotte, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (12.9 vs. 20.0). Gobert recorded a double-double with 17 points and 19 rebounds.

Of Charlotte’s 40 games, 22 have finished over the projected point total, while 19 of Utah’s 37 games have finished under the projected point total. The Jazz have the sizable advantage straight up (SU) (25-12 vs. 15-25), but both teams have comparable against the spread (ATS) records. Utah is 17-18-2, while Charlotte is 19-19-2 ATS.

Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Hornets, it’s been Terry Rozier, who has averaged 21 points,6.0 assists, while the Jazz have gotten great contributions from Joe Ingles (13 points,6.8 assists).

Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams square off. Utah ranks 26th in possessions per game (100.4) and Charlotte is 30th (99.4). Furthermore, the Hornets rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.0 percent), while the Jazz rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.0 percent).

Charlotte Hornets vs. Utah Jazz Free Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Hornets rank 14th in points off turnovers per game (17.2) while the Jazz rank 28th (14.5).

Utah ranks 13th in rebounds per game (45.7) while Charlotte ranks 25th (43.0).

Charlotte ranks 16th in second chance points per game (12.9) while Utah ranks 28th (10.8).

Neither of these teams are great at blocking the ball. Charlotte is 25th in the NBA with 4.3 blocks per game while Utah is 28th with 4.1 blocks per game.

Charlotte is 11-9 ATS on the road with 13 overs and 7 unders.

Utah is 8-8-1 ATS at home with 10 overs and 7 unders.

Charlotte is 3-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Utah is 9-1.

When scoring above 100 points, the Jazz are 24-7 and the Hornets are 13-15.

The Hornets rank third in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while the Jazz rank 15th (12.8).

Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.4) while Charlotte ranks last (27.2).

The Jazz rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (31.6) while the Hornets rank 23rd (34.9).

The Jazz rank 18th in steals allowed per game (7.8) while the Hornets rank 25th (8.2).

Utah ranks 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.7) while Charlotte ranks 28th (51.6).

Bettings Trends:

Utah is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Charlotte is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.2, up from 3.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (3.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average).

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