Home NBA Free NBA Picks Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors ATS Odds Pick 02/28/20

Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors ATS Odds Pick 02/28/20

The Toronto Raptors (42-16) will be at home in Scotiabank Arena when they meet the Charlotte Hornets (20-38). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214.5 points with Toronto set as a 13.5-point favorite. Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020, and it can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto.

Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors ATS Preview

The Hornets beat the New York Knicks in their last contest, 107-101, despite being 2-point underdogs. Terry Rozier was the game’s high scorer with 26 points on 7-for-15 shooting. Charlotte dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.229 (above their season average of 0.186) and a turnover percentage of 13.0 (worse than their season average of 12.8). For those same stats, New York was 0.129 and 14.0, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 208 points, which finished just over the projected point total of 207.

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In the Raptors’ previous outing, they were 1-point favorites and lost to the Milwaukee Bucks, 108-97. Pascal Siakam was the top scorer from either team with 22 points on 6-for-14 shooting. Milwaukee made good use of their 36 trips to the charity stripe, making 30 of them (83.3 percent). Toronto, meanwhile, was 15-21 (71.4 percent). The two teams collectively scored 205 points, which was well under the O/U total of 232.

Toronto could have their way on the defensive side of the ball as they square off against one of the league’s worst offenses. The Raptors currently rank second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.499), while Charlotte is 27th in effective field goal percentage (0.501). Also, the Hornets rank 23rd in turnover percentage (14.2 percent), while the Raptors rank second in opponents’ turnover percentage (15.5 percent).

Of Charlotte’s 58 games, 30 have finished under the projected point total, while 30 of Toronto’s 58 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Raptors have a clear advantage. They are 42-16 SU and 32-25-1 ATS, while the Hornets are 20-38 SU and 27-29-2 ATS.

These two teams have already met twice this year, with the Raptors winning both. In the most recent game, the Hornets lost 112-110, resulting in a push. Miles Bridges put up 26 points and nine rebounds. The two teams combined to score 222 points, which was 15.5 points above the projected point total of 206.5 points. The Raptors’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Hornets. Toronto had a rate of 8.9, while Charlotte posted a mark of 14.9.

Hornets at Raptors Betting Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Raptors rank second in fast break points per game (19.1) while the Hornets rank 21st (11.7).

Charlotte ranks 13th in second chance points per game (13.3) while Toronto ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).

Toronto ranks second in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while Charlotte ranks 20th (16.1).

Toronto ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.1) while Charlotte ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).

On the road, Charlotte is 17-15 ATS with 16 overs and 16 unders.

At home, Toronto is 18-13 ATS with 18 overs and 13 unders.

In games where they allow less than 100 points, Toronto is 14-3 and Charlotte is 6-0.

When scoring more than 100 points, the Hornets are 16-21 and the Raptors are 40-9.

The Hornets average 34.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Raptors rank 29th in three pointers allowed per game (38.5).

Toronto ranks second in steals per game (8.7) while Charlotte ranks 25th (6.6).

The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while the Hornets rank 22nd (51.1).

The Raptors rank 12th in rebounds per game (45.5) while the Hornets rank 26th (42.8).

Toronto ranks 10th in assists per game (25.6) while Charlotte ranks last in assists allowed per game (26.8).

Bettings Trends:

Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.6, up from 6.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 98.2 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.2 points per game (2.8 below their season average).

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