Charlotte Hornets vs. Houston Rockets Free Pick 02/04/20


The Charlotte Hornets (16-34) can snap a six-game road losing streak when they go head-to-head with the Houston Rockets (31-18) at Toyota Center. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 4, 2020, and it can be seen on ATTSN Southwest.

Charlotte Hornets at Houston Rockets ATS Preview

In the Hornets’ last matchup, they lost to the Orlando Magic, 112-100, despite being 8.5-point favorites. Charlotte’s Miles Bridges finished with 16 points and eight rebounds in the game. Orlando was lights out from beyond the arc (16-34; 47.1 percent). Charlotte, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 23.6). The two teams combined to score 212 points, which was just under the projected point total of 214.5.

The Rockets come in on a high note after covering the 5-point spread against the New Orleans Pelicans in their last outing, 117-109. Houston was lifted by James Harden, who was the game’s high scorer with 40 points on 12-for-24 shooting. The Rockets had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 5.8 (better than their season average of 12.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.181 vs. 0.160). The two squads collectively scored 226 points, which was well under the O/U total of 252.

Houston could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense faces off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Rockets rank third in offensive efficiency, while Charlotte ranks 28th in defensive efficiency.

Of Charlotte’s 49 games that accepted bets, 25 have finished under the projected point total, while 27 of Houston’s 49 games have finished under the projected point total. The Rockets have the sizable advantage straight up (SU) (31-18 vs. 16-34) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (24-25 vs. 23-24-2).

This is the first time these teams will meet this year, after the Rockets won both games last season. In the most recent matchup, Houston won 118-106. Houston’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Rockets had more offensive rebounds (12 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (43 vs. 32) and total rebounds (55 vs. 39).

Hornets vs. Rockets Odds Prediction

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

Houston averages 43.5 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).

Houston averages 47.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.4).

The Hornets rank 18th in second chance points per game (12.8) while the Rockets rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).

Houston is 12-12 ATS at home, while Charlotte is 14-13 ATS on the road.

Bettings Trends:

Houston is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Charlotte is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 4.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 99.4 points per game (3.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (0.5 above their season average).