It was a tremendous first leg three weeks ago when AS Roma had a 1-0 lead at the halftime, but Shakhtar managed to make a superb comeback and earn a 2-1 victory at the end, so the second leg at Stadio Olimpico this Tuesday, March 13th, 2018, should be a pure classic. The hosts are -155 favorites to win this game, while the markets on each team to reach the Champions League Quarter-Finals are set even at -110, as the bookies expect to see both sides scoring at -160.
Team News, Updates and Facts
AS ROMA had a great first half against Shakhtar three weeks ago, but in the second 45 minutes they were pretty lucky to concede just two goals, showing some serious weaknesses at the defensive end. Since then, the Magic One has recorded a 2-0 defeat against AC Milan at home, and two great victories against mighty Napoli (4-2) on the road, and Torino (3-0) in front of the home fans. At home, AS Roma has won just two out of their last five matches along with three losses, failing to score on two occasions in the process, while three out of these five tilts had at least three goals in the total.
Interestingly, they’ve kept the clean sheet in all three Champions League home matches this season, recording two wins against Qarabag (1-0), and Chelsea (3-0), and a nil-nil draw with Atletico Madrid. The manager Eusebio Di Francesco doesn’t have any serious injury problems among the squad, so he can field his best eleven against Shakhtar this Tuesday.
On the other side, SHAKHTAR was a better team than Roma in the first leg in Ukraine, creating a plenty of scoring chances, especially in the second half when they could easily score three or four goals. The Miners are playing in a great form recently, winning all their five games after the winter break, and conceding only against AS Roma, while all these five matches had at least three goals in the total. On the road, they’ve recorded three victories and two losses in the last five games, while in the previous two away matches against Vorskla and Karpaty in the Ukrainian Premier League they’ve kept their net intact.
The 26-year old striker Facundo Ferreyra was impressive in the last couple of weeks, bagging seven goals in the last five matches, while he’s the team’s leading scorer with 27 goals in 33 appearances this season. The manager Paulo Fonseca can count on all important first team players, so we expect to see his top eleven on the pitch against AS Roma.
Betting Odds on the Total at BetDSI Sportsbook
Over 3 Goals @ -105
Under 3 Goals @ -115
Why Bet on the Under?
AS Roma played a vast majority of their matches in the under this season, while they didn’t allow a single goal to their opponents in three Champions League home matches. In this match, the hosts need a 1-0 victory to qualify for the next round, but if the visitors find the net, the things will get much more difficult, and AS Roma will need to score twice to make it stalemate in this matchup, so you can expect to see a patient approach in the first half. On the other side, the visitors can sit back and wait for their chances on counters as long as they keep their net intact.
Why Bet on the Over?
On the other hand, AS Roma has shown some dangerous skills in the final third in their last two matches, scoring seven goals on these two occasions, while Shakhtar has managed to score in ten games in a row in all competitions. Likewise, seven out of the last eight Shakhtar’s away matches had at least three goals in the total, as the visitors are pretty dangerous on counter-attacks, having some quick and skillful players among the squad who can easily break the deadlock this Tuesday.
AS Roma vs. Shakhtar Over/Under Betting Pick
After the first leg in Ukraine when we could see far more than three goals in the total, I expect to see a similar scenario in Italy, despite the hosts need a 1-0 win to make it through. The attacking potential of these two sides is huge, and if we get a quick opener, this clash should be easily finished in the over. However, you can also check out all other lines and markets for AS Roma vs. Shakhtar match, and for the remaining games this midweek, as BetDSI will have you covered on all Champions League Round of 16 matchups.
MY PICK: Over 3 Goals (-105)