Home NHL Free NHL Picks Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Free Pick 12/23/19

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Free Pick 12/23/19

A couple of teams that’ve positioned themselves squarely in playoff contention, the Carolina Hurricanes and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet at Scotiabank Arena. The match gets started at 2 p.m. ET on Monday, December 23, and you can watch this Eastern Conference matchup live on Sportsnet Ontario.

Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Carolina is 22-14 straight up (SU) and has earned 0.7 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 36 regular season outings, 20 of its games have gone under the total, while 16 have gone over and none have pushed. The Canes are 12-8 SU on the road in 2019-20.

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Carolina has converted on 23.9 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that places them in the top-5 among NHL teams. Additionally, it has the sixth-best penalty kill in the league, and it has successfully killed off 84.6 percent of its penalties.

For the team as a whole, the Canes have been whistled for penalties 4.1 times per game overall in the 2019-20 season, and 4.8 per game over its last five on the road. The team’s had to defend opponent power plays 8.8 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Sporting a .903 save percentage and 23.9 saves per game, Petr Mrazek (14-9-2) has been the best option in goal for Carolina this season. If head coach Rod Brind Amour decides to rest him, however, the team might roll with James Reimer (8-6 record, .927 save percentage, 2.31 goals against average).

Teuvo Teravainen and Andrei Svechnikov will both be relied on to facilitate things for the visiting Hurricanes. Teravainen (36 points) has tallied seven goals and 29 assists, and has recorded two or more points eight times. Svechnikov has 15 goals and 21 assists to his name, and has notched at least one point in 23 games.

Over on the other bench, Toronto is 19-18 straight up (SU) and has lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 37 regular season contests, 19 of its games have gone over the total, while 16 have gone under and just two have pushed. This year, the team’s 9-8 SU as the home team.

The Maple Leafs have converted on just 21.0 percent of their power play chances this year, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 26th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 76.4 percent of all penalties.

Maple Leafs players have been called for penalties only 3.3 times per game this season, 2.8 per game over their last five contests total, and 2.8 per game over their last five home outings. The team’s had to kill penalties just 7.2 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Frederik Andersen has stopped 28.4 shots per game as the primary choice in goal for the Maple Leafs. Andersen has 18 wins, 11 losses, and three overtime losses to his credit and has recorded a 2.52 goals against average and a .919 save percentage this year.

The home team will be led on offense by Auston Matthews (23 goals, 18 assists).

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions

Pick: SU Winner – Hurricanes, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

Nine of Toronto’s last ten outings have been decided by two or more goals. The club is 6-3 overall in those games.

The Hurricanes are 7-2 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 12-8 in games where they serve fewer than 10 penalty minutes, in total.

Toronto is 1-2 in games decided by a shootout this season while Carolina is 2-0 in shootouts.

Carolina may hold the upper hand if this one comes down to the wire. The team’s 8-4 in one-goal games, while Toronto is 4-8 in such games.

Toronto has averaged 3.4 goals per game overall this year, but has raised that figure up to 4.8 per match up in its past four games (the team’s a perfect 0-0 SU over that span).

Carolina is ranked 17th this season with 10.6 giveaways per game. That figure has trended lower recently, however, as it’s averaged 9.4 giveaways over its last 10 games and 8.4 giveaways over its last five.

Toronto skaters have averaged 12.4 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 11.3 giveaways per game (ranked 24th in the league).

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