Home NHL Free NHL Picks Calgary Flames vs. Ottawa Senators Betting Pick 1/18/20

Calgary Flames vs. Ottawa Senators Betting Pick 1/18/20

In their last head-to-head meeting of the regular season, the Calgary Flames and the Ottawa Senators meet at Canadian Tire Centre. This cross-country matchup gets going at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 18 and it can be seen live on Sportsnet West.

Calgary Flames at Ottawa Senators Odds

Calgary (-155) is being picked as the favorite over Ottawa (+135) and the Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 6 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -110 money on the over and -110 for the under.

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Calgary is 26-23 straight up (SU) and has lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 49 regular season outings, 26 of its games have gone under the total, while 20 have gone over and just three have pushed. As a road team this season, the Flames are 13-13 SU.

Calgary has converted on 18.9 percent of its power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s right around league average. Additionally, its penalty kill is ranked seventh overall, and it has successfully killed off 83.0 percent of all penalties.

For the team as a whole, Calgary has been penalized 3.7 times per game during the 2019-20 season, and 2.6 per game over its last five on the road. The team’s had to defend opponent power plays just 6.0 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Averaging 28.8 saves per game with a .915 save percentage, David Rittich (19-16-5) has been the primary option in goal for Calgary this season. If Calgary decides to rest him, however, they may go with Cam Talbot (7-9 record, .922 save percentage, 2.54 goals against average).

The visiting Flames have relied on Johnny Gaudreau and Matthew Tkachuk heavily this year. Gaudreau (38 points) has tallied 13 goals and 25 assists, and has recorded two or more points in nine different games. Tkachuk has 15 goals and 23 assists to his name, and has registered a point in 24 games.

Over on the other bench, Ottawa is 16-31 straight up (SU) and has lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 47 regular season contests, 25 of its games have gone over the total, while 21 have gone under and just one has pushed. It’s 11-12 SU as the home team this year.

Ottawa has converted on just 11.7 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a mark that’s ranked 31st in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 15th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 81.0 percent of all penalties.

Ottawa players have been sent to the penalty box 4.0 times per game this season, and 2.4 per game over their past five contests. The team’s had to kill penalties just 8.8 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Anders Nilsson has stopped 28.5 shots per game as the primary choice in goal for Ottawa. Nilsson has nine wins, 11 losses, and two overtime losses and has recorded a pedestrian 3.18 goals against average and a poor .908 save percentage this year.

The Sens will be led on offense by Anthony Duclair (21 goals, 11 assists).

Calgary Flames vs. Ottawa Senators Betting Predictions

NHL Pick: SU Winner – Senators, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

Power plays and penalty kills could prove to be even more critical than usual in the outcome of this matchup. The Flames are 12-7 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 20-16 when they’re in the box for fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Senators are 5-14 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 7-15 when their penalty minutes are in the single digits.

Calgary is 5-0 in games decided by a shootout this season while Ottawa is 0-3 in shootouts.

Ottawa is ranked 26th overall this season with 6.6 takeaways per game. That figure’s trended lower lately, however, as it has forced 5.6 takeaways over its last 10 games and 6.0 takeaways over its last five.

Calgary has managed 6.6 takeaways per game over its last five road games, a drop-off from its season average of 8.9 takeaways per game (ranked fifth in the league).

Calgary could have an advantage if it’s a tight one late. The team’s an impressive 16-7 in games decided by one goal, while Ottawa is only 6-12 in such games.

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