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Betting on today's Mustangs and Tritons game? Catch the action at LionTree Arena in San Diego, CA, as the Tritons hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138 points, and California-San Diego is favored by -18.5 to win at home against Cal Poly.

CAL POLY MUSTANGS VS CALIFORNIA-SAN DIEGO TRITONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +18.5

This game will be played at LionTree Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.

WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-66 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +18.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can Cal Poly Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

Cal Poly enters this game with a record of 4-27, including a 0-19 mark in Big West games. They have lost 19 straight games, including a 82-68 loss to UC Irvine in their most recent outing. On the road, the Mustangs are 1-16 this season and have lost 14 straight road games.

As a team, Cal Poly is scoring 62.6 points per game while allowing 76.3 points per contest. They are shooting 40.4 percent from the field and 33.9 percent from three-point range.

Cal Poly has an overall ATS record of 14-16 this season. On the road, they are 8-9 vs. the spread, and their last 3 road ATS mark is 2-1. As the underdog, the Mustangs have gone 14-16 vs. the spread this year.

Cal Poly's over/under record this season is 15-13-2, and today's line of 138 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (134.4). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Cal Poly is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 68 points vs. UC Irvine. This figure is more than their season average of 62.9 points per game. Kobe Sanders led the scoring for the Mustangs, contributing 22 points. Additionally, Justin Page chipped in with 13 points.

At this time, the Mustangs' defense is positioned 220th in the country, permitting 73.5 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Cal Poly's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.3% this season.

Can the Tritons Please their Home Crowd?

California-San Diego has been very successful at home this season, going 10-3 with an average scoring margin of +7.5 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, they are 9-1. For the season, they have been favored 19 times, going 14-5 in those games.

Overall, the Tritons have a record of 20-11, including a 13-5 mark in Big West play. They have gone 7-6 in non-conference games, and they are coming off a 70-63 loss to UC Davis.

As the favorite this season, UC San Diego has gone 12-7 vs. the spread. At home, the Tritons have an ATS mark of 9-4 and are 6-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. Over their last three games as the favorite, UC San Diego is 1-2 ATS.

Today's over/under line of 138 is lower than the average over/under line in California-San Diego's games this season (143). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer than 138 points. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 135 points.

In their most recent game, the California-San Diego offense put up just 63 points vs. the UC Davis Aggies. Overall, they are now averaging 76.2 points per game which is 131st in the country. In terms of three-point shooting, the Tritons offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 25.1 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

So far this season, the California-San Diego defense has been performing well, ranking 69th in the country at 67.7 points allowed per contest. The California-San Diego defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 70 points and allowed UC Davis to connect on 6 threes.