BYU at Massachusetts College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19


In a display of two teams that like to run the football, Minutemen (-40) are ready to welcome their IndFBS nemesis BYU Cougars to Warren P. McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Fans are able to tune in to the action on FLOF and this afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET.

BYU at Massachusetts Betting Odds 11/23/2019

BYU is the heavy road favorite and is currently giving up 40 points to Massachusetts. If the Minutemen seize control early it will produce a reasonable betting opportunity in-game. The over/under has been set at 69 points.

The game’s total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 69. Having said that, the opening line was 39 so has recently moved up to 40.

The Cougars are 6-4 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Minutemen are 1-10 SU overall and are also 0-2 SU in conference play. The Cougars have gained 2.6 units so far in 2019 and are 4-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 5-5.

The hapless Minutemen have lost 2.4 units this season. They’re 1-10 ATS and have an O/U record of 8-3.

BYU enters this matchup on a zero-game winless skid while Massachusetts has won zero in a row. The Cougars are coming off a resounding 42-10 victory over Idaho State last weekTheir defense allowed the Bengals to run for 157 yards on 32 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Malakai Rango was on a different level for the Bengals in that one with 142 rushing yards and a score on 24 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, the Cougars completed 24-of-36 passes for 245 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Zach Wilson went 19-for-31 for 187 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Joe Critchlow completed five-of-five for 58 yards. Sione Finau (102 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) and Jackson McChensey (46 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Micah Simon (seven receptions, 76 yards) and Talon Shumway (five catches, 41 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties.

One week ago, Northwestern knocked off this Massachusetts team by a score of 45-6. The Minutemen defense allowed the Wildcats to eat up the clock by running for 334 yards on 52 rush attempts, including five rush TDs. Evan Hull was outstandingfor the Wildcats, putting up 220 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 24 attempts. As a group, the Minutemen collectively completed 25-of-46 passes for 227 yards and one interception. Randall West went 19-for-36 for 175 yards and one interception while Andrew Brito was six-of-10 for 52 yards. Bilal Ally (66 yards on 16 rush attempts) and Cam Roberson (29 yards on 10 carries) handled the ground game in the defeat while Zak Simon (six receptions, 58 yards) and Brennon Dingle (four catches, 66 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Each squad has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. BYU has run the ball on 50.9 percent of its offensive possessions while Massachusetts has a rush percentage of 52.0. The Cougars, however, have rushed for 144 yards per game and have 17 scores via handoffs this year. The Minutemen haven’t been quite as productive, as they’re logging 123 rush yards per contest (66 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.

The Cougars have averaged 278 yards in the air overall and have 16 passing TDs so far. The Minutemen have recorded 171 pass yards per outing (116.5 in the IndFBS) and have 13 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, BYU seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 193 rush yards and 213 pass yards per game. Massachusetts has allowed 295.4 yards per game on the ground and 257.9 to opponents in the air. The Cougars are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.62 to opponents, while the Minutemen have given up a whopping 9.71 ANY/A.

Baylor Romney has put up 747 passing yards this season, and has completed 54-of-85 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Romney’s got a sparkling 8.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.09 over the last two outings.

In the home locker room, Randall West has produced 709 yards, four TDs and four INTs. West’s ANY/A sits at an ultra-pedestrian 4.10 for the season and 2.38 over his last two games.

When these two squads faced one another last year, BYU earned the win 35-16.

BYU Cougars at Massachusetts Minutemen NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Massachusetts, ATS Winner – Massachusetts, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The O/U for BYU’s last game was 58.5. The under cashed in the team’s 42-10 win over Idaho State.

As a team, BYU has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.6 over its last two.

Massachusetts has averaged 2.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and only 1.9 over its last two.

The Massachusetts offense has lost three fumbles this season while BYU has lost seven.

In its last three games, BYU is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Massachusetts’ previous matchup was 57.5. The under cashed in the 45-6 loss to Northwestern.

Over its last three games, Massachusetts is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Cougars offense has produced seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Minutemen have accounted for three such plays.

The BYU defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Massachusetts has given up 10 such plays.

The BYU offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Massachusetts has created 13 such runs.

The Cougars defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Minutemen have given up 28 such runs.

The BYU defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 10 times this season. Massachusetts has produced nine sacks.


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