The Big East Conference Tourney matchup between the Providence Friars (19-12, 12-6 Big East) and the No. 24 Butler Bulldogs (22-9, 10-8 Big East) will take place at Madison Square Garden. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 131 points with Butler set as a 1-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 2:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020.
Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars Free Preview
In the Bulldogs’ last game, they barely escaped the Xavier Musketeers, 72-71, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. Kamar Baldwin was the top scorer from either team with 36 points on 13-for-25 shooting. The Bulldogs had a solid effective field goal percentage of 0.564 (above their season average of 0.521) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 38.7 (above their season average of 29.3). The two teams combined to score 143 points, which finished over the projected point total of 128.5.
The Friars hope to keep it rolling after easily covering the 10.5-point spread against the DePaul Blue Demons in their last contest, 93-55. Providence received a boost from Alpha Diallo, who put up 17 points and eight rebounds. Providence dominated every stat category in the game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.328 (above their season average of 0.246) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.563 (above their season average of 0.470). DePaul recorded marks of 0.111 and 0.381, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams collectively scored 148 points, which was over the projected point total of 137.5.
Providence might struggle to put up points as they battle against one of the NCAA’s best defenses. Butler ranks 67th in defensive efficiency while the Friars rank 179th in offensive efficiency.
Of Butler’s 30 games that accepted bets, 17 have finished under the O/U total, while 16 of Providence’s 30 games have finished over the projected point total. The Bulldogs hold a clear advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 22-9 SU and 17-13 ATS, while the Friars are 19-12 SU and 15-14-1 ATS.
Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars Betting Prediction
College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Providence, ATS Winner – Providence, O/U – Over
Providence is 9-6 ATS at home, while Butler is 8-6 ATS on the road.
Providence is 5-0 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Butler is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Friars’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 14.0, up from 5.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 68.0 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 64.6 points per game (2.5 above their season average).