Butler Bulldogs at Providence Friars Free Pick 01/10/20


The Providence Friars (10-6, 3-0 Big East) look to snap the five-game winning streak of Butler when they welcome the No. 6 Bulldogs (14-1, 2-0 Big East) to Dunkin’ Donuts Center. Butler is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 126 points. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on Friday, January 10, 2020.

Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars Betting Preview

The Bulldogs beat the Creighton Bluejays in their last matchup, 71-57, easily covering as 4.5-point favorites. With 18 points and 11 rebounds, Sean McDermott played well for Butler. Butler dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 16.0) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.6 (below their season average of 28.2). Creighton was 17.6 and 12.1, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to score 128 points, which finished under the O/U total of 135.

In the Friars’ last game, they narrowly defeated the Marquette Golden Eagles, 81-80, as 5.5-point underdogs. With 19 points on 4-for-11 shooting, Maliek White was Providence’s high scorer. The Friars had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.373 (above their season average of 0.220) and held the Golden Eagles to an effective field goal percentage of 0.445 (below their season average of 0.522). The two clubs collectively scored 161 points, which came in well over the O/U total of 145.

This is the first time these teams will clash this year. The Friars won all three contests played against each other last season. In the last matchup, Providence won 80-57. The Friars played a flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.212 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7. The Bulldogs put up marks of 0.075 and 10.0, respectively, for those same stats.

Of Butler’s 14 games with betting action, 10 have finished under the projected point total, while 8 of Providence’s 15 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Bulldogs have a clear advantage. They are 14-1 SU and 10-4 ATS, while the Friars are 10-6 SU and 6-9 ATS.

The battle on the backboards could prove decisive, pitting strength against strength. The Friars rank 60th in offensive rebounding percentage (33.2 percent), while Butler ranks 12th in defensive rebounding percentage (78.1 percent). Moreover, the defense of the Bulldogs figures to have an advantage in terms of effective field goal percentage. They rank 10th in the nation with an opponents’ effective field goal percentage of 0.423, while the offense of the Friars ranks 278th in effective field goal percentage (0.478).

Butler at Providence Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Butler, ATS Winner – Butler, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

Providence is 4-3 ATS at home, while Butler is 4-2 ATS on the road.

The total has gone over in 4 of the Friars’ 7 home games, while 4 of the Bulldogs’ 6 road games have gone under.

Providence ranks 13th in steals per game (9.6) while Butler ranks 211th (4.8).

The Bulldogs rank third in rebounds allowed per game (28.5) while the Friars rank 191st (37.2).

Butler ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (10.0) while Providence ranks 124th (12.6).

Bettings Trends:

Providence is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Butler is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Friars’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 6.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 66.8 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 50.6 points per game (3.5 below their season average).

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