Bundesliga Match of the Day Round 1 – Borussia Dortmund vs. Red Bull Leipzig (8/26/18)

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Borussia Dortmund opened their Bundesliga campaign against RB Leipzig this weekend with both teams looking to challenge Bayern Munich for the title, but will likely fight for the vice-champion spot considering the strength and dominance of the Bavarians. The game between Dortmund and Leipzig will take place at the Signal Iduna Park on August 26th, 2018.

DORTMUND vs. LEIPZIG

Three-Way: 1: Dortmund -143; X: +280 Draw; 2: Leipzig +400 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -1: Dortmund +120; Leipzig -156

Total 3 goals: Over -119; Under +100

DORTMUND

The hosts struggled in their first competitive game, scraping past second-tier team Greuther Furth with a goal in the final minute of extra-time in last week’s DFB-Pokal clash to clinch a narrow 2-1 win. New manager Lucien Favre will be looking for much better performance in this game. Dortmund is still looking for a new striker as they only have a teenager Alexander Isak as the classic No. 9, and they failed to bring Liverpool’s Divock Origi on loan as Jurgen Klopp wants to seal a permanent deal for the Belgian.

The lack of a quality striker proved to be problematic in a cup tie with Furth as Favre used Marco Reus up front, and although Reus scored a game-winning goal in the 120th minute, Dortmund must strengthen the attack in the coming days. New arrival, Axel Witsel, scored an equalizer in the 95th minute on his debut as Dortmund came from behind to reach the next round of the DFB Pokal.

Marco Reus is the man to watch for the hosts and he’s hoping to experience an injury-free campaign after appearing in only 28 Bundesliga games in the past two seasons. Reus scored 14 goals in that span and is +140 to score anytime against Leipzig, so he could be a solid option to back on this one.

Betting Trends:

  • Dortmund won six of their first seven games in the league in 2017/18
  • Dortmund was the third-highest scorers in the Bundesliga last season with 64 goals – only Bayern (92) and Hoffenheim (66) scored more

LEIPZIG

The Red Bulls came through their DFB-Pokal tie in ninety minutes, although they had to come back from 1-0 down at half-time to eventually beat Viktoria Koln 3-1. Yussuf Poulsen Emil Forsberg and Jean-Kevin Augustin scored second-half goals for Leipzig, but they couldn’t score in the first leg of the Europa League playoffs against Zorya in Ukraine even though they had 30 attempts, so the match ended 0-0. The visitors will fancy their chances in this game, and with five undefeated Europa League qualification matches already under their belt, Ralf Rangnick believes his team is more than Bundesliga-ready.

Timo Werner scored 34 goals in the last two Bundesliga campaigns, but he is still searching for his first goal of this season, so backing him to score here at +110 could be a good option to bet on.

Betting Trends:

  • 11 of Leipzig’s last 15 games in all competitions ended with over 2.5 goals, with an average of a bit over four goals per game
  • Leipzig scored in eight out of the previous nine games on the road

Both clubs have faced each other just four times in the Bundesliga before, with Dortmund winning just one of those games, while Leipzig recorded two victories. Only one of those dour encounters produced more than two goals and it was in 2017/18 when Leipzig beat Dortmund 3-2 at the Signal Iduna Park. This could turn out to be a goal-glut but it also could finish 1-1, so I am not sure about the goals here and will go with a draw instead.

MY PICK: Draw (+280)