Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bears and Bulldogs. The game is starting at 12:00 ET on ESPN2, and it’s hosted by the Bulldogs at Levien Gymnasium in New York, NY. Get ready to place your bets! This Ivy League conference matchup has an over/under of 134.5 points, and Yale is favored to win by -7.5 at home vs. Brown.


The Pick: Brown Bears +7.5

This game will be played at Levien Gymnasium at 12:00 ET on Sunday, March 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Yale winning straight-up, we like Brown at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Bears Have What it Takes in New York?

Heading into their matchup against Yale, Brown has been playing their best basketball of the season, winning five straight games. Over the course of the season, they have gone 12-17, including a 7-6 mark in Ivy League play. On the road, they have gone 7-10, and they will enter this game as 7.5-point underdogs.

During their last game, the Bears defeated Princeton by a score of 90-81. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is -3.2 points per game.

As the underdog, Brown has been a strong bet all season long, going 12-6 vs. the spread. On the road, the Bears have been even better, going 11-6 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Brown has an 8-2 ATS mark.

This season, the over/under record for Brown sits at 14-13. So far, the average scoring total in their games is at 143.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.1). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 163 points compared to a season average of 143.3 points.

Brown recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 90 points against Princeton. This output exceeded their season average of 71.7 points per game. The Brown offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.9 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 34% of their looks from outside this season.

In terms of defense, Brown is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Brown’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.8% this season.

Can the Bulldogs Secure a Win at Home?

Yale enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 20 of their 29 games this season. The Bulldogs have a record of 17-3 when favored, compared to just 2-5 when they are the underdog.

At home this season, Yale has been dominant, going 9-1. On the year, they have an average scoring margin of +12.1 points per game at home, compared to just +2.2 on the road.

Against the spread, Yale has gone 7-3 at home this season, and their overall ATS record is 16-9-2. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs are 8-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Yale games is 15-12. Today’s line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 143 points. Over their last five games, the over/under record is 4-1 and the average scoring total is 144 points.

In contrast to their season average of 75.6 points per game, the Yale had a below average performance. They scored 69 points against Cornell and had a field goal percentage of 47.3%. On the offensive front, the Bulldogs have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 75th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 150th in terms of percentage and 205th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Bulldogs’ defense is nationally ranked 47th, allowing 66.8 points per game. The Yale defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 57 points and allowed Cornell to connect on 7 threes.