Brooklyn Nets at Detroit Pistons Free Pick 01/25/20


The Brooklyn Nets (18-25), who are currently on a five-game losing streak, will try to get back in the win column when they head to Little Caesars Arena to square off against the Detroit Pistons (17-29). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 225.5 points with Brooklyn set as a 1-point favorite. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 25, 2020, and it can be seen on YES Network.

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Brooklyn Nets at Detroit Pistons Free Preview

In the Nets’ last matchup, they lost to the Los Angeles Lakers, 128-113. They failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. Spencer Dinwiddie had a solid game for Brooklyn, finishing with seven points, 13 assists and seven rebounds. Los Angeles’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Brooklyn. The Lakers had a rate of 25.0 (above their season average of 24.6), while the Nets posted a mark of 16.3 (below their season average of 23.0). The two teams combined to score 241 points, which came in over the projected point total of 230.

The Pistons failed to cover as 2-point underdogs in their 125-112 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies in their last contest. Derrick Rose led Detroit in scoring with 22 points on 10-for-21 shooting. Memphis did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (28-31; 90.3 percent). Detroit, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 6.3 (better than their season average of 13.7). The two teams combined to score 237 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 222.

This game should be a showdown of contrasting paces. Brooklyn prefers an up-tempo style of play (sixth in possessions per game), while Detroit is more half-court-oriented (20th in possessions per game).

Of Brooklyn’s 43 games, 21 have finished over the projected point total, while 27 of Detroit’s 45 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Nets have a clear advantage. They are 18-25 SU and 18-24-1 ATS, while the Pistons are 17-29 SU and 17-26-2 ATS.

These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined for 222 points in that game, hitting the projected point total. The Pistons won 113-109, covering as 4-point underdogs. One of Detroit’s largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They had 29 free throw attempts, while Brooklyn had 17. Andre Drummond put up a double-double in the victory with 25 points and 20 rebounds.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Detroit Pistons Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Nets rank third in assists allowed per game (22.0) while the Pistons rank 19th (24.7).

Detroit ranks 17th in blocks per game (4.8) while Brooklyn ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).

Detroit ranks 13th in steals per game (7.8) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (6.9).

Brooklyn averages 13.3 fast break points per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Detroit ranks 14th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8).

Brooklyn is 7-12-1 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 9-13 ATS at home.

The total has gone over in 15 of the Pistons’ 22 home games, while 10 of the Nets’ 20 road games have gone over.

In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Brooklyn is 4-1 and Detroit is 4-0.

When reaching 100 points, the Nets are 18-19 and the Pistons are 16-21.

The Nets average 13.7 second chance points per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Pistons rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).

Brooklyn ranks second in rebounds per game (48.4) while Detroit ranks last (42.2).

The Nets average 50.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Pistons rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).

The Pistons average 16.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Nets rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).

Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (30.0) while Brooklyn ranks 20th (34.8).

Bettings Trends:

Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Brooklyn is 0-5 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Pistons have outscored opponents by an average of 9.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Detroit has lost by an average of 1.6 points.

During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 106.8 points per game (2.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 119.4 points per game (7.4 above their season average).

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