Boston College vs. Rutgers NCAA Football Betting Pick 9/21/19


The Boston College Eagles (-7) will meet the Rutgers Scarlet Knights at SHI Stadium. This pivotal afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to BTN.

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Boston College at Rutgers Betting Odds 9/21/2019

Boston College is giving up 7 points in this game. The Eagles are currently getting -300 moneyline odds while the Scarlet Knights are +220. The over/under has been set at 57.5 points, and if one side can find paydirt early, it’ll probably produce a worthy live betting opportunity.

Sharp bettors are hammering the over. The game’s O/U initially opened at just 51.5.

The Eagles are 2-1 straight up (SU) while the Scarlet Knights are 1-1 SU. The less-than-stellar Eagles have lost 15.3 units so far in 2019 and are 1-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-0.

The Scarlet Knights have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 1-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.

The Eagles came up short to Kansas 48-24 in a thumping where the passing attack could’ve been more effective as Anthony Brown completed only 18-of-36 passes for 195 yards and one touchdown. AJ Dillon (151 rushing yards on 27 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the loss while Jake Burt (three receptions, 16 yards) and Kobay White (three catches, 45 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Two weeks ago, Iowa blanked this Rutgers team by a score of 30-0. The Scarlet Knights defensive unit allowed the Hawkeyes to run for 194 yards on 39 rush attempts. Ihmir Smith-Marsette put up a productive showing for Iowa, recording 113 yards and two touchdowns on four catches. As a group, the Scarlet Knights collectively completed 10-of-27 passes for 47 yards and two interceptions. McLane Carter went six-for-16 for 28 yards and one interception while Artur Sitkowski was four-of-11 for 19 yards and one interception. Isaih Pacheco (36 yards on nine rush attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat while Blackshear (four receptions, -1 yards) and Pacheco (four catches, 31 yards) led the receiving corps.

Boston College has run the ball on 63.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Rutgers has a rush percentage of 52.4 percent. The Eagles have produced 244 rush yards/game and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Scarlet Knights are averaging 142 rush yards per contest and have four total rushing TDs.

Based on the early season results, it appears that the Eagles should own the edge in all aspects of the ground game, since their running backs has logged 5.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.9 YPC to opponents. The Scarlet Knights have tallied 4.4 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.3 to opponents.

The Eagles have logged 222 yards/game through the air overall and have seven passing TDs so far. The Scarlet Knights have produced 198 pass yards per game and have two total pass scores.

Boston College has let opponents rush for an average of 214 yards and pass for 244 yards per game. Rutgers has been a bit better than that, allowing 190.0 yards per game on the ground and 182.5 to opponents in the air. The Scarlet Knights are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.59 to opponents, while the Eagles have given up a 5.97 ANY/A.

Brown is up to 470 passing yards this year, and has completed 33-of-62 attempts with three passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Brown has a sparkling 8.09 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.47 over the last two games.

We’re expecting the Eagles to control tempo by getting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Zay Flowers (101 yards, one TD) has been a recent factor in the receiving game, but backfield mates AJ Dillon (232 rush yards, two rush TDs, seven receiving yards) and David Bailey (63 rush yards, one rush TD) have been focal points in the offense for Boston College.

McLane Carter has produced 28 yards, zero TDs and one INT for Rutgers. His ANY/A stands at a horrendous -1.53 for the season and 4.39 over his past two games.

The Scarlet Knights will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. Bo Melton (17 receiving yards) has gotten involved lately, but Isaih Pacheco (36 rush yards, 31 receiving yards) and Raheem Blackshear (30 rush yards, -1 receiving yards) have seen quite a few looks recently.

Boston College Eagles at Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAA Tip

SU Winner – Boston College, ATS Winner – Boston College, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

The Rutgers defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks three times this year. Boston College has registered two sacks.

The Rutgers offense has lost one fumble in 2019 while the Boston College offense has yet to lose any.

The Eagles offense has registered five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Scarlet Knights have put up one such play.

Both defenses have allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards. The Boston College defense has given up three pass plays of 30+ yards while Rutgers has permitted two such plays.

The Boston College offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Rutgers has created two such runs.

The Eagles defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Scarlet Knights have given up four such runs.

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