Boston College at Louisville College Football Betting Pick 10/5/19

0

The Boston College Eagles and Louisville Cardinals will go at it on the turf at Cardinal Stadium. Kickoff for this pivotal showdown is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET and CHSS will televise the action.

Boston College vs. Louisville Betting Odds 10/5/2019

The line for this ACC matchup is placed at 4 points in favor of Louisville. The Eagles are currently getting +165 moneyline odds while the Cardinals are -185. This ACC game should have some live betting scenarios. The over/under is set at 61 points.

The opening line was -5 while the over/under hasn’t changed since being set initially at 61.

The Eagles are 3-2 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The Cardinals are 2-2 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play. The disappointing Eagles have lost 15.3 units so far in 2019 and are 3-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 3-2.

The Cardinals have lost 1.0 unit this season. They’re 3-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-3.

The Eagles are looking to get back in stride after a 27-24 defeat to Wake Forest last weekTheir defense allowed the Demon Deacons to rush for 197 yards on 54 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Jamie Newman logged a productive day for the Demon Deacons in that one with 102 rushing yards on 23 attempts. On the offense, Anthony Brown completed 21 passes on 29 attempts for 265 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. AJ Dillon (159 rushing yards on 23 attempts) provided the ground attack in the loss while Kobay White (four receptions, 33 yards) and Bailey (four catches, 33 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Louisville just fell 35-24 to Florida State a couple of weeks ago. The defense allowed the Seminoles to pass for 382 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 140 yards and three scores. Cam Akers put up a solid showing in the win, recording 112 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 29 attempts for Florida State. For Louisville, Malik Cunningham completed 16-of-27 passes for 286 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Cunningham (5 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) and Javian Hawkins (52 yards on 17 carries) handled the ground game in the defeat while Dez Fitzpatrick (seven receptions, 133 yards, one TD) and Chatarius Atwell (five catches, 69 yards, one TD) led the Louisville pass-catchers.

Boston College has run the ball on 63.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Louisville has an overall rush percentage of 66.2 percent. The Eagles have produced 252 rush yards/game (including 205 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 11 scores via handoffs this year. The Cards are putting up 225 rush yards per contest and have six total rushing TDs.

If 2019 numbers are any indication, then it seems like the Eagles ought to have the more disruptive lines up front, as their offensive line has given up only 23 sacks while the D-line registered 33 sacks. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have given up 43 sacks and their defense has generated only 11 sacks.

The Eagles have averaged 221 yards through the air overall (278 per game versus conference opposition) and have 10 passing scores so far. The Cards have produced 212 pass yards per outing and have nine total pass TDs.

Boston College has allowed opponents to run for an average of 183 yards and throw for 256 yards per game. Louisville has been a bit better than that, giving up 135.8 yards per game on the ground and 215.5 to opponents in the air. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.46 to opponents, while the Cards have given up a 6.96 ANY/A.

Cunningham has recorded 310 yards, two TDs and one INT for Louisville. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.18 for the season and 8.10 across his past two outings. In the other huddle, Brown has amassed 898 passing yards this season, and has connected on 62-of-105 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Brown has an 8.93 ANY/A for the year, although that number sits at 6.93 over the last two games.

These two squads faced off last year with the final outcome being a 38-20 win for Boston College.

Boston College Eagles at Louisville Cardinals NCAA Tip

SU Winner – Louisville, ATS Winner – Louisville, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes

The O/U for Boston College’s previous game was 69. The under cashed in the team’s 27-24 defeat to Wake Forest.

Boston College has produced 5.0 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.0 over its last two.

Louisville has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and only 3.4 over its past two.

The Louisville offense has lost five fumbles this season while Boston College has lost one.

In its last three matchups, Boston College is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Louisville’s last game was set at 61. The under cashed in that 35-24 loss to Florida State.

In its last three matches, Louisville is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Both teams have produced five pass plays of 40 or more yards and seven pass plays of 30+ yards.

The Boston College defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Louisville has given up three such plays.

The Boston College offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Louisville has created eight such runs.

The Eagles defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Cardinals have given up three such runs.

The Louisville D has recorded more than double the sack total of Boston College this year (11 versus five).

Leave a Reply