Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards Free Pick 01/06/20

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The Washington Wizards (11-24) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top scoring defense when they square off with the Boston Celtics (25-8) at Capital One Arena. Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, January 6, 2020.

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Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards Odds Preview

The Celtics defeated the Chicago Bulls in their last game, 111-104, despite being 1-point underdogs. Jayson Tatum led Boston in scoring with 28 points on 12-for-15 shooting. The Celtics had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 23.9) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.573 (above their season average of 0.525). The two teams combined to score 215 points, which finished over the O/U total of 208.

In the Wizards’ previous matchup, they topped the Denver Nuggets, 128-114, as 13-point underdogs. Washington received a boost from Troy Brown, who had 25 points and 14 rebounds. Washington played a nearly flawless contest. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 36.8 (above their season average of 22.5) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.582 (above their season average of 0.526). For those same stats, Denver was 20.5 and 0.494, respectively. The two squads collectively scored 242 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 221.

These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined for 273 points in that game, which was well over the projected point total of 230.5. The Celtics won 140-133, but were unable to cover as 8-point favorites. The Celtics dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 27.0 and a solid free throw rate of 0.271. For those same stats, the Wizards were 20.9 and 0.229, respectively. Bradley Beal was the game’s top overall scorer with 44 points.

These two teams are complete opposites in terms of the O/U total. Games involving Boston have finished under 57.6 percent of the time, while Washington games have gone over 60.0 percent of the time. The Celtics come into this game with a significant advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 25-8 SU and 20-12-1 ATS, while the Wizards are 11-24 SU and 18-17 ATS.

Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Celtics, it’s been Enes Kanter, who has averaged 13 points,10.2 rebounds,2.0 blocks, while the Wizards have gotten great contributions from Ish Smith (13 points,3.8 assists).

This matchup pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Washington currently ranks fourth in offensive efficiency and Boston is third in defensive efficiency. Moreover, the Celtics rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.2 percent), while the Wizards rank 28th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.1 percent).

Boston Celtics vs. Washington Wizards Free Prediction

Free Pick: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Celtics rank 12th in rebounds per game (46.0) while the Wizards rank last (42.2).

Washington averages 33.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Boston ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).

Washington ranks second in second chance points per game (14.8) while Boston ranks 16th (13.0).

Boston ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Washington ranks sixth (7.0).

Boston is 11-5-1 ATS on the road with 10 unders and 7 overs.

Washington is 7-9 ATS at home with 9 overs, 6 unders and 1 push.

Boston is 9-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Washington is 2-0.

The Wizards are 10-24 when they score above 100 points, while the Celtics are 24-4.

The Celtics rank fifth in fast break points per game (15.1) while the Wizards rank 15th (12.7).

Boston ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while Washington ranks 28th (51.4).

The Celtics rank sixth in blocks per game (6.1) while the Wizards rank 26th (4.1).

The Celtics rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Wizards rank eighth (15.9).

Boston ranks sixth in assists allowed per game (22.9) while Washington ranks 26th (25.8).

Bettings Trends:

Washington is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Boston is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.0, down from 4.7 for the season.

During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (0.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (2.7 above their season average).

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