The Oklahoma City Thunder (32-20) look to put an end to the six-game winning streak of Boston when they welcome the Celtics (36-15) to Chesapeake Energy Arena. Action begins at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 9, 2020.
Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Preview
The last time the Celtics played, they were victorious over the Atlanta Hawks, 112-107, but failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites. Jayson Tatum was the top scorer from either team with 32 points on 10-for-19 shooting. The Celtics had a better effective field goal percentage (0.523 vs. 0.483) and had a better turnover percentage (11.7 vs. 12.6). The two teams combined to score 219 points, which came in under the projected point total of 225.
Although the Thunder defeated the Detroit Pistons in their last matchup, 108-101, they were not able to cover as 13-point favorites. Oklahoma City was lifted by Chris Paul, who led the team in scoring with 22 points on 7-for-11 shooting. The Thunder knocked down 25 of their 30 free throws (83.3 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.546 (above their season average of 0.532). The two teams collectively scored 209 points, which finished under the projected point total of 214.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after the Celtics won both contests last season. In the most recent matchup, Boston won 134-129. Boston had a better effective field goal percentage (0.665 vs. 0.565). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, did a great job of making free throws (25-34; 73.5 percent).
Of Boston’s 51 games, 27 have finished under the projected point total, while 29 of Oklahoma City’s 52 games have finished under the O/U total. The Celtics have the sizable advantage straight up (SU) (36-15 vs. 32-20), but both teams have similar against the spread (ATS) records. Boston is 31-19-1 ATS, while Oklahoma City is 33-18-1 ATS.
The offense of Oklahoma City (13th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 109.6) will clash against the top-notch defense of Boston (third in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 104.1). The Celtics figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
The Celtics rank 12th in second chance points per game (13.2) while the Thunder rank 29th (10.9).
Boston ranks 20th in assists per game (23.4) while Oklahoma City ranks 26th (22.1).
Boston ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while Oklahoma City ranks 18th (16.5).
Boston is 15-8-1 ATS on the road with 15 unders and 9 overs.
At home, Oklahoma City is 13-13-1 ATS with 14 unders and 13 overs.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Oklahoma City is 7-3 and Boston is 12-2.
When scoring above 100 points, the Celtics are 35-9 and the Thunder are 31-12.
The Celtics rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (33.7) while the Thunder rank 27th (29.7).
Boston ranks sixth in fast break points per game (15.1) while Oklahoma City ranks last (9.3).
The Thunder rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while the Celtics rank 23rd (5.5).
The Thunder rank third in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Celtics rank eighth (7.0).
Boston ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.9) while Oklahoma City ranks 22nd (49.4).
Oklahoma City is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Boston is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 2.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 117.2 points per game (4.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.2 points per game (1.2 below their season average).