The Minnesota Timberwolves (16-37) will be at home in the Target Center when they square off with the Boston Celtics (38-16). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230.5 points with Boston opening as a 7-point favorite. Action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, February 21, 2020.
Boston Celtics vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Preview
The Celtics defeated the Los Angeles Clippers in their last outing, 141-133, covering as 2.5-point favorites. Jayson Tatum was the top scorer from either team with 39 points on 14-for-23 shooting. Boston dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.320 (above their season average of 0.202) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.524 (below their season average of 0.532). Los Angeles was 0.273 and 0.468, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 274 points, which was well over the projected point total of 230.
In the Timberwolves’ last game, they were 5.5-point favorites and lost to the Charlotte Hornets, 115-108. With 26 points, 11 assists and six rebounds, D’Angelo Russell put together a good outing for Minnesota. Charlotte made 14 of their 34 three pointers (41.2 percent). Minnesota, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (9.1 vs. 11.3). The two teams combined to put up 223 points, which finished just under the O/U total of 225.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after the Celtics won both meetings last season. In the most recent matchup, Boston won 115-102. Boston was lights out from beyond the arc (12-30; 40.0 percent). Minnesota, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.1 vs. 10.3).
Of Boston’s 54 games, 28 have finished under the O/U total, while 29 of Minnesota’s 53 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Celtics have a clear advantage. They are 38-16 SU and 32-21-1 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 16-37 SU and 18-33-2 ATS.
Minnesota might have trouble scoring as they face off against one of the league’s best defenses. Boston ranks fourth in defensive efficiency while the Timberwolves rank 22nd in offensive efficiency.
Boston Celtics at Minnesota Timberwolves Free Prediction
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over
The Timberwolves average 5.9 blocks per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Celtics rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
Boston ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Minnesota ranks 16th (7.7).
Boston ranks ninth in rebounds allowed per game (44.0) while Minnesota ranks 27th (47.4).
Boston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (22.4) while Minnesota ranks eighth (23.5).
Boston is 15-10-1 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 6-20-1 ATS at home.
The total has gone under in 16 of the Celtics’ 26 road games, while 14 of the Timberwolves’ 27 home games have gone over.
Minnesota is 2-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Boston is 12-2.
The Celtics are 37-10 when they score above 100 points, while the Timberwolves are 15-30.
The Timberwolves rank third in three pointers allowed per game (31.5) while the Celtics rank 16th (33.8).
Boston ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while Minnesota ranks 24th (18.0).
The Celtics rank sixth in fast break points per game (15.5) while the Timberwolves rank 26th (10.3).
The Timberwolves rank eighth in second chance points per game (14.0) while the Celtics rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.7).
Boston ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (43.1) while Minnesota ranks 22nd (49.6).
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its past five outings, Boston is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 3.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 117.2 points per game (4.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (7.2 above their season average).